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Archived S & P Daily Reports THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN ALL TRADING. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. ALL RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL. THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
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The
week in review - 03/03/03 - 03/07/03
The Tech Guru's S & P Day
Trading Recommendations
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P - For Monday
03-03-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very significant),
and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE NOT
mentioned, they should be placed below the second support
area listed or above the second resistance area listed,
or 22 points from the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the market
trades through the second support area listed.
The first resistance area becomes the support after the market
trades through the second resistance area listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
844.30 newly developed day channel and 844.50
peak also 845.80 and 847 minor weekly channels and top (very
major area) / 850.10 minor day
channel and 850.20 GBX weekly top also 853.40 weekly top and 854.70
monthly closing price (very major
area) / 860.30 weekly closing price and 861 day top
also 863.90 weekly top (major area) / 865.50
minor day channel also 866.60 GBX top and 867.80 weekly top (very
major area) / 882.50 day top to
883 day gap and 885.50 GBX top (very
major area).
Support: For
the March contract -
837.50 intra-day channel also 836.70 bottom and 836.40 day channel (major
area) / 830.50 base and 829.10 minor day channel (major
area) / 826.70 and 825.50 day bottoms
also 822.90 weekly channel (very
major area) / 817 weekly bottom (major area)
/ 813.70 day bottom and 811.60 long-term weekly
channel also 810.30 long-term day channel (very
major area) / 805.30 weekly bottom and 801.70 day gap (major
area).
Comments:
The closing price on Friday kept the chart in
neutral condition inside two neutral ranges. The first
neutral range is between 847 - 836.40, and a wider neutral range
between 850.10 and 822.90. A trade above the 850.10 and 854.70
area will be considered a breakout for higher prices to develop.
A trade below 822.90 will fail the major support for lower prices to
develop. Remain defensive inside the first neutral range between
847 and 836.40.
Day
trades: For the March contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 847 - 850.10
area for obj. near 840 - 838 area and possibly near 836.40. (Use
a buy stop and rev. long at 855.70).
Aggressive traders can buy dips near 838 - 836.40
area for obj. near 843 - 844 area and possibly near 846. (Use a
sell stop and rev. short at 833.40).
Buy stop at 855.70 for obj. near 858.50 - 860 area
and possibly near 861.
Buy stop at 868.70 for obj. near 876 - 878 area.
Sell stop at 833.40 for obj. near 831.50 - 830.50 and
possibly near 829.
Sell stop at 819 for obj. near 817 - 814 area and
possibly near 812.
Bulletin - Originally sent 03/03/03 (11:14 am est) Short positions were taken at 848. The sell-off down to 840.10 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 03/03/03 (1:58 pm est) The sell-off brought prices down to 839.20 putting traders into long positions. The obj. still remains at 843 area. Bulletin - Originally sent 03/03/03 (2:09 pm est) Long positions were taken at 839.20. The rally up to 842.50 is near enough to the 843 obj. to complete the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 03/03/03 (2:17 pm est) NOTE: The market is trading at the 838 - 837.50 area again and can still be considered a buying area for the trade to be repeated due to the fact that 836.40 is the major support. Traders holding long positions can look for obj. near 843 - 844 area, using the sell stop and rev short at 833.40 Results: 03/03/03
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P -
For Tuesday 03-04-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
836 peak and 836.50 intra-day channel also 837.30 and 837.50 peaks (major
area) / 842.50 and 844.80 and peaks (major area)
/ 850.10 newly developed day channel (very
major area) / 852.50 day top
also 853.40 weekly top and 854.70 monthly closing price
(very major area) / 860.30 weekly closing
price and 861 day top also 863.30 minor day channel and 863.90
weekly top (major area) / 866.60
GBX top and 867.80 weekly top (very
major area) / 882.50 day top
to 883 day gap and 885.50 GBX top (very
major area).
Support: For
the March contract -
834.80 minor day channel (major) / 830.30 minor day
channel (major) / 826.70 and 825.50 day bottoms (major
area) / 824.30 day channel and 822.80
weekly channel (very major
area) / 817 weekly bottom (major) /
813.70 day bottom and 811.60 long-term weekly
channel also 810.50 long-term day channel (very
major area) / 805.30 weekly bottom and 801.70 day
gap (major area) / 891.50 rev. peak (major
area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Monday from the resistance area
proved the significance of the resistance but managed to remain
inside the neutral area. A trade today above the 850.10
channel and 853.40 weekly top can prove to be significant enough to
stimulate a possible new uptrend. A trade today below 830.30
is slightly bearish but a trade below 824.30 and 822.80 will fail
the major support for lower prices to follow. Remain defensive
inside the 850.10 - 824.30 neutral range.
Day
trades: For the March contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 836 -
836.50 and buy dips near 832 - 830.30 area, whichever side comes
first to complete the trade. (Use a protective buy stop at
838.70. Do not rev. long). (Use a protective sell stop
at 829.70. Do not rev. short).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 848 - 850
for obj. near 844 - 842 area. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at
855.70).
Buy stop at 855.70 for obj. near 858.70 - 860.30
area and possibly near 863.
Buy stop at 871 for obj. near 875 - 878 area.
Sell stop at 819 for obj. near 815 - 812 area.
Sell stop at 807 for obj. near 805 - 801.70 gap
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 03/04/03 (9:52 am est) Short positions were taken at the opening at 834.90. The sell-off down to 831 completes the trade. Results: 03/04/03
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P -
For Wednesday 03-05-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
822.70 peak and 823.40 intra-day channel also 824.50 and 824.80
peaks (major area) / 830.80 peak and 832.50 peak (major
area) / 834.90 day top and 835.40
day gap also 836 peak (very
major area) / 840.90 weekly and monthly closing
price (major area) / 847.20
weekly closing price and 848 day channel
(very major area) / 852.50
and 853.40 weekly tops also 854.70 monthly closing price (very
major area) / 860.30 weekly closing price and 861
day top also 861.50 minor day channel and 863.90 weekly top (major
area) / 866.60 GBX top and 867.80
weekly top (very major area).
Support: For
the March contract -
819.80 minor day channel and 817.30 rev.
channel also 817 weekly bottom (very
major area) / 814.70 monthly
channel and 813.70 day bottom and 811.60 long-term weekly channel
also 811 long-term day channel (very
major area) / 805.30 weekly bottom and 801.70 day
gap (major area) / 791.70 rev. peak (major)
/ 784.70 major monthly channel (very
major area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Tuesday brought prices below
the major weekly channel, putting the chart in neutral to bearish
territory. A trade above 830.80 and 835.40 areas are slightly
bullish but only a trade above 848 and 852.50 area can bring any
solid bullishness back to the chart. A trade below 819.80
and 817 area is bearish but a trade below 814.70 and 811 will
confirm the downtrend intact for lower prices to follow.
Remain defensive inside the 823.40 and 819.80 narrow neutral
range.
Day
trades: For the March contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 822 -
823.40 area or buy dips near 820.50 - 819.80 area, whichever side
comes first to complete the trade. (Use a protective buy
stop at 825.70. Do not rev. long). (Use a protective
sell stop at 816.70. Do not rev. short).
Buy stop at 831 for obj. near 835 - 836 area.
Buy stop at 838 for obj. near 840 - 841 area.
Buy stop at 844 for obj. near 847 - 848 area.
Sell stop at 809 for obj. near 805 - 801.70 gap
area.
Sell stop at 798 for obj. near 793 - 791.50 area.
Sell stop at 789 for obj. near 785.70 - 784.70
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 03/05/03 (9:43 am est) The short positions was missed with a high of 821.50. Long positions were taken at 820. The rally up to the double top at 821.30 is considered near enough to the obj. of 822 to complete the trade. Results: 03/05/03
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S & P
- For Thursday 03-06-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
830.80 and 832.50 peaks (major area) / 834.90
day top and 835.40 day gap also 836 peak (very
major area) / 840.90 weekly and monthly closing
price (major area) / 845.50
day channel and 847.20 weekly closing price (very
major area) / 850.50 minor day channel (major)
/ 852.50 weekly top also 853.40 weekly top
and 854.70 monthly closing price (very
major area) / 859.50 minor
day channel and 860.30 weekly closing price also 861 day top and
863.90 weekly top (very
major area) / 866.60 GBX
top and 867.80 weekly top (very
major area) / 882.50 day
top to 883 day gap also 885.50 GBX top (very
major area).
Support: For
the March contract -
825.40 (major) / 822
intra-day channel and 819.50 day channel (very
major area) / 818.50 day bottom and 817
weekly bottom (major area) / 814.70
monthly channel and 813.70 day bottom also 811.60 long-term
weekly channel and 811.50 long-term daily channel (very
major area) / 805.30 weekly bottom and 801.70
day gap (major area) / 791.70 rev. peak (major)
/ 784.70 long-term major monthly channel
(very major area).
Comments:
The rally on Wednesday from the major support
proves the significance of the area but the market continues to
remain inside a neutral trading range between 836 and 822.
A trade above 836 is slightly bullish but only a trade
above 845.50 and 850.50 areas can bring any solid bullishness
back to the chart. A trade below 822 is bearish for prices
to challenge the 814.70 monthly channel. A trade below
811.60 can bring prices down near the 784.70 monthly channel
support. Remain defensive inside the 836 - 822 neutral
range.
Day
trades: For the March contract -
Aggressive traders can buy dips near 824 - 822
area for obj. near 828 - 830 area. (Use a protective sell
stop at 816. Do not rev. short).
Aggressive traders can buy dips near 815
- 812 area for obj. near 819 - 821. (Use a sell stop and
rev. short at 808.70).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 834 -
836 area for obj. near 830 - 828 area. (Use a buy stop and
rev. long at 838).
Buy stop at 838 for obj. near 840 - 841 area
and possibly near 844.
Buy stop at 855.50 for obj. near 858.50 -
860.50 area.
Sell stop at 808.70 for obj. near 805 - 801.70
area.
Sell stop at 798 for obj. near 793 - 791.70
area.
Sell stop at 789 for obj. near 785.70 - 784.70
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 03/06/03 (9:48 am est) Long positions were taken at 823. Since the market traded below the 822 support, it is recommended to exit near 824.50 and take profits. It is possible for the market not to meet the obj. at 828. Results: 03/06/03
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P -
For Friday 03-07-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
822.70 intra-day channel also 822.50 and 823 peaks also 823.30 day
channel (major area) / 824.40 intra-day channel
also 824.50 and 825.50 peaks (major area) / 827
and 827.30 peaks also 828.50 minor day channel (very
major area) / 829.90 day top and 830.60 GBX top (major
area) / 834.90 day top to 835.40 day gap also 836.60 GBX
top (major area) / 840.90
weekly and monthly closing price and 843 major day channel (very
major area) / 847.20 weekly closing price and
849.50 minor day channel (major area) / 852.50
and 853.40 weekly tops also 854.70 monthly closing price (very
major area) / 860.30 weekly
closing price and 861 day top also 863.90 weekly top (very
major area) / 866.60 GBX top
and 867.80 weekly top (very
major area).
Support: For
the March contract -
820.50 minor day channel also 819.50 and
818.50 day bottoms also 817 weekly bottom (very
major area) / 814.70 monthly
channel and 813.70 day bottom also 812 long-term daily channel and
811.60 long-term weekly channel (very
major area) / 805.30 weekly bottom and 801.70 day
gap (major area) / 791.70 rev. peak (major)
/ 784.70 long-term major monthly channel
(very major area) /
776.90 lowest day session closing price (major area)
/ 767.50 major weekly bottom (very
major area) / 758.30 monthly
down channel (very major
area) / 747.20 and 736.80
are the long-term major monthly channels (very
major area).
Comments:
After considering the minor key reversal to the
downside made on Monday and a sell-off again on Thursday from
the resistance makes the chart technically bearish.
The market is now facing a major support area at 814.70 and
811.60. A failure below this area can bring prices down to
challenge the 805.30 bottom and also the 784.70 monthly channel. A
failure to hold above the 784.70 can possibly bring
prices down near the 758.30, 747.20 and 736.80 monthly
channels, which technically should be considered a long-term
major buying area. A trade today above the 823.30 and 828.50
resistance is slightly bullish but only a trade above the 843 and
849.50 areas can bring any solid bullishness back to the chart.
Remain defensive inside the 823.30 - 828.50 resistance and 814.70
- 811.60 support area, which is the neutral trading range at this
time.
Day
trades: For the March contract -
Aggressive traders can sell
rallies near 822 - 823.30 area and if possible near 827 for obj.
near 816.50 - 814.70 area and possibly near 811.60. (Use a
buy stop and rev. long at 831.30).
Very aggressive traders can
attempt long positions near 816.50 - 814.70 area and if
possible near 811.60 for obj. near 818.50 - 821 area. (Use a
sell stop and rev. short at 808.50).
Buy stop at 831.30 for obj. near 834 - 836 area.
Buy stop at 838 for obj. near 840.50 - 843 area.
Buy stop at 845 for obj. near 847 - 849 area.
Sell stop at 808.50 for obj. near 805.30 - 801.70
bottom and gap area.
Sell stop at 798 for obj. near 793 - 791.70 area.
Sell stop at 788.50 for obj. near 785.50 - 784.70
area.
Sell stop at 781 for obj. near 777 and possibly
near 772.
Bulletin - Originally sent 03/07/03 (9:43 am est) Long positions were taken at 811 on the opening. Since the market traded below the 811.60 support the obj. is going to change from 818.50 - 821 area to 814 - 816 area. Continue to use a sell stop and rev. short at 808.50. Bulletin - Originally sent 03/07/03 (10:28 am est) Short positions were taken at 822.50 and 827 on this rally. The sell-off down to 820.20 is significant enough to consider taking profits. Exit all short positions at the market and take profits. Results: 03/07/03
The
week in review - 03/10/03 - 03/14/03
The Tech Guru's S & P Day
Trading Recommendations
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P -
For Monday 03-10-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
828.40 and 829.40 minor day channels also 830 day top and 830.60 GBX
top (major area) / 834.90 day top to 835.40 day gap
and 836.60 GBX top (major area) / 840.40
major day channel and 840.50 weekly channel also 840.90 weekly and
monthly closing price (very
major area) / 847.20 weekly
closing price and 849.20 minor day channel also 849.50 minor weekly
channel (very major area)
/ 852.50 and 853.40 weekly tops also
854.70 monthly closing price (very
major area) / 860.30 weekly closing price and 861
day top also 863.90 weekly top (major area) / 866.60
GBX top and 867.80 weekly top (very
major area) / 882.50 day top to 883 day gap and
885.50 GBX top (major area) / 889
long-term major day channel and 891.80 long-term major weekly
channel (very major area).
Support: For
the March contract -
827.50 intra-day channel and 826.50 base (major area)
/ 822.50 base and 822 intra-day channel also
821.80 day session closing price (very
major area) / 818.80 and 818.50 base area also
817.70 and 816.50 base area (major area) / 811
newly developed weekly channel also 809.40 newly developed day
channel and 809 weekly bottom (very
major area) / 805.30 weekly bottom and 801.70 day
gap (major area) / 791.70 rev. peak (major)
/ 784.70 long-term major monthly channel
(very major area) /
776.90 lowest day session closing price (major area)
/ 767.50 major weekly bottom (very
major area).
Comments:
The rally on Friday from the support area was
significant but managed to close down for the week and remain inside
the neutral trading area leaving the chart neutral to slightly
bearish. A trade above 840.50 is slightly bullish and a trade
above 849.50 - 852.50 will be considered a breakout for higher
prices to follow. A trade today below 822.50 - 818.80 area is
bearish and a trade below 811 - 809 area can bring prices down to
challenge the 784.70 monthly channel. Remain defensive inside
the 840.50 - 818.80 trading range until a breakout is seen to either
side of the 852.50 - 811 major trading range..
Day
trades: For the March contract -
Aggressive traders can buy dips near 822 - 818.80
area for obj. near 826 - 827.50 area. (Use a sell stop and
rev. short at 814.80).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 827.50 -
828.50 area for obj. near 823 - 821.80 area. (Use a buy stop
and rev. long at 832.70).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 840 - 841
area for obj. near 836 - 834 area. (Use a buy stop and rev.
long at 843.90).
Sell stop at 814.80 for obj. near 812 - 809.40
area.
Sell stop at 798 for obj. near 793 - 791.70 area.
Sell stop at 788.70 for obj. near 785.70 - 784.70
area.
Buy stop at 832.70 for obj. near 835.40 gap - 836
area.
Buy stop at 843.90 for obj. near 847 - 849 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 03/10/03 (10:50 am est) Sell stops were hit at 814.80, putting traders into short positions. This area seems to be proving support because of the 811 major upper channel line on both the weekly and daily charts. Short positions are becoming risky at this level. It is recommended for short positions to exit the trade and cut losses. The market is trading at 815 at this time. Results: 03/10/03
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Tuesday 03-11-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a
value - (very major) holds the highest importance,
then (major), (very significant), and (significant) is
of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that
are against the trend or a high dollar risk when wide
stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell
stop inside a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to
enter or complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only.
Where stops ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed
below the second support area listed or above
the second resistance area listed, or 22 points from
the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first resistance
area becomes the support after the market
trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
810 and 811.50 intra-day channels also 813 peak (major
area) / 815, 816.80,
817.20 and 818.30 intra-day peaks also 816.60 and
818.40 day channels (very
major area) / 823.30 day top (major)
/ 827 minor day channel and
828.60 weekly closing gap also 830 day top (very
major area) / 834.90 day top to 835.40
day gap and 836.60 GBX top (major area)
/ 838.40 minor day channel and
840.50 weekly channel also 840.90 weekly and monthly
closing price (very
major area) / 847.20
weekly closing price and 848.10 minor day channel also
849.50 minor weekly channel
(very major area) / 852.50
and 853.40 weekly tops also 854.70 monthly closing
price (very major
area).
Support: For
the March contract -
805.70 and 805.30 double bottom
area to 801.70 day gap also 801 minor down channel
(very major area)
/ 791.70 rev. peak (major) / 784.70
long-term monthly channel (very
major area) / 776.90 lowest day
session closing price (major area) / 767.50
major weekly bottom (very
major area) / 758.30
monthly down channel (very
major area) / 747.20
and 736.80 are the long-term major monthly channels
(very major area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Monday proved the
bearishness in the chart formation as described in
Monday's comments leaving the chart at the double
bottom support and defensive for lower prices to
develop. The bottom support can stimulate some
rallies but does not necessarily mean it will hold as
a major support. Only a trade above the 828 -
830 area and again above 840.50 can reverse the
momentum and bring any bullishness back to the chart.
A trade below the 805.30 - 801 area can bring prices
down to challenge the 784.70 monthly channel support
and possibly lower. Remain defensive inside the
818.40 - 801 trading range.
Day
trades: For the March contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies
near 810 - 813 area for obj. near 806 - 805.30 and
possibly near 801.70 gap. (Use a protective buy
stop at 814. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies
near 816 - 818 area for obj. near 813 - 811 area and
possibly near 810. (Use a buy stop and rev. long
at 821).
Buy stop at 821 for obj. near 824 -
826 area and possibly near 828.
Buy stop at 831.70 for obj. near
834.70 - 836 area and possibly near 838 - 840 area.
Sell stop at 798 for obj. near 794 -
791.70 area.
Sell stop at 788.70 for obj. near
785.70 - 784.70 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 03/11/03 (10:24 am est) Short positions were taken at 810 - 813 area. The sell-off down to the double bottom at 807.80 - 808 area completes the trade. NOTE: The market continues to remain in bearish territory. Aggressive traders can continue selling rallies anywhere between 813 and 818 area. Bulletin - Originally sent 03/11/03 (10:31 am est) Short positions were taken again at 812.50. The sell-off down to 809 seems worthy enough to take profits and complete the trade. Results: 03/11/03
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P -
For Wednesday 03-12-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
800.70 day channel (major) / 804.50
intra-day channel and 805 peak and 805.70 day channel (very
major area) / 807.70 intra-day channel and peak (major
area) / 810.80 peak and 813 minor day channel also 814.50
day top (major area) / 818.60
day channel with GBX prices (very
major area) / 823.30 day top and 825 minor day
channel (major area) / 828.30
GBX top and 828.60 weekly closing gap also 830 day top (very
major area) / 834.90 day top
and 835.40 day gap also major day channel (very
major area) / 840.50 weekly
channel and 840.90 weekly and monthly closing price
(very major area).
Support: For
the March contract -
793.30 minor day channel and 791.70 rev. peak (major area)
/ 784.70 long-term monthly channel (very
major area) / 776.90 lowest
day session closing price and 772.50 major daily down channel
(very major area) / 769.20
major weekly down channel and 768.50 major daily down channel also
767.50 major bottom (very major
area) / 758.30 monthly down
channel (very major area)
/ 747.20 and 736.80 are the long-term major
monthly channels (very major
area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Tuesday materialized as expected
because of the bearish condition. The close below the 801.70
gap area leaves the chart bearish for prices to possibly test
the 784.70 support area. A trade below 784.70 can bring prices
down to the 769.20 - 767.50 area and possibly near the 758.30 -
747.20 support area. A trade today above 805.70 will
challenge the 813 and 818.60 resistance. Only a trade above
818.60 and 825 can bring any bullishness back to the chart.
Remain defensive inside the 805.70 and 791.70 trading range.
Day
trades: For the March contract -
Aggressive traders can sell near 800 - 803 area and
if possible near 805.50 for obj. near 794 - 791.70 area. (Use
a protective buy stop at 808.70. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 812 and if
possible near 815 - 817 area for obj. near 808.50 - 805.50 area
and possibly near 802. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at
821.60).
Buy stop at 821.60 for obj. near 823.30 - 825 area.
Buy stop at 831 for obj. near 834 - 836 area.
Sell stop at 788.70 for obj. near 785.70 - 784.70.
Sell stop at 781 for obj. near 777 - 775 area and
possibly near 772.50 - 768.50 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 3/12/03 (10:44 am est) Short positions were taken at 801. The sell-off down to 794 completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 03/12/03 (1:43 pm est) The sell stop was hit at 788.70 putting traders into short positions. The market is proving to have support at this level being that the major support is at 784.70 and can stimulate some rallies. It is recommended for traders to exit the short position at the market and cut losses. The market is trading at 789 at this time. Results: 03/12/03
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P -
For Thursday 03-13-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the March contract -
807.50 day channel also 807.70 and 810.80 peaks (major
area) / 813.80 day channel and
814.50 day top (very major
area) / 822.10 and 823.30 minor day channels also
823.30 day top (major area) / 828.30
GBX and 828.60 weekly closing gap also 830 day top (very
major area) / 833.10 major
day channel and 834.90 day top also 835.40 day gap and 836.60 GBX
top (very major area)
/ 840.50 weekly channel and 840.90 weekly
and monthly price (very major
area) / 847 minor day
channel and 847.20 weekly closing price also 852.50 weekly top (very
major area).
Support: For
the March contract -
803 rev. channel and 801 intra-day channel (major area)
/ 796 and 794.70 base area (major area) / 791.20
base and 788.50 bottom (very
major area) / 784.70
long-term monthly channel (very
major area) / 776.90 lowest day session closing
price (major) / 771 major
daily down channel and 767.50 major bottom also 766.50 daily down
channel (very major area)
/ 758.30 monthly down channel (very
major area) / 747.20 and
736.80 are the long-term major monthly channels (very
major area).
Comments:
The recovery rally from the major support area
removed the bearishness out of the chart leaving it neutral inside
a wide trading range between 833 and 771. The first neutral
range between 813 and 801 is important as well as the 823.40 and
796 neutral range. The market remains very defensive and
subject to a wide trading range and volatile whiplashing.
Conservative traders should step aside and wait for signals of
solid direction.
Day
trades: For the March contract -
If the market opens
above 813, aggressive traders can sell rallies near 820 -
823 area for obj. near 813 and possibly near 811. (Use a buy
stop and rev. long at 824.70).
If the market opens below
813, aggressive traders can sell rallies near 813 for
obj. near 806 - 804 area and possibly near 801. (Use a
protective buy stop at 815. Do not rev. long).
Buy stop at 824.70 for obj. near 827 - 829 area
and possibly near 833.
Sell stop at 798 for obj. near 796 - 794.70 area.
Sell stop at 789 for obj. near 786 - 784.70 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 03/13/03 (9:43 am est) The rally up to 819 is a double top on the intra-day scale, where short positions were taken. The obj. still remains at 813 - 811 area and the buy stop and rev. long still remains at 824.70. Bulletin - Originally sent 03/13/03 (10:00 am est) Short positions were taken at 818.50. The sell-off down to 813.50 is near enough to the 813 obj. to complete the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 03/13/03 (2:29 pm est) The buy stop was hit at 824.80 putting traders into long positions. The market is showing some resistance at this level and could possibly prevent the 827 obj. to come to play. It is recommended for traders to exit the long position at the market and cut loses. The market is trading at 823.80 at this time. Results: 03/13/03
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S & P
- For Friday 03-14-03: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance:
For the June contract -
833.50 day top to 834.40 day gap (major area) /
840 weekly and monthly closing price also
840.50 weekly channel, which still reflects the March contract
(very major area) /
845.10 and 846.50 minor day channels also
846.20 weekly closing price (very
major area) / 849 weekly
channel also 851 and 851.70 weekly tops also 853.70 and 854.70
monthly closing prices (very
major area) / 860 day top and 861 weekly top (major
area) / 866 weekly top (very
major area) / 872 day top (major)
/ 878.20 monthly closing price and 882.10
day gap (very major area).
Support: For
the June contract -
829.50 day channel and 826.20 intra-day base (major
area) / 823.30 and 820.80 intra-day base (major)
/ 817.20 and 816 intra-day base (major area) / 808.70
base and 808.50 day bottom to 804.40 day gap (very
major area) / 795.50 base (major)
/ 790.50 base (major) / 787.50
day bottom and 784.70 long-term monthly channel, which still
reflects the March contract (very
major area).
Comments:
The rally on Thursday from the support area
brought prices up near the very major resistance area found on
the weekly chart at 840.50. A trade above 846.50 area and
a trade above 849 will be considered a breakout and can reverse
the downtrend momentum to the upside. A trade and close
above 854.70 will confirm the uptrend momentum intact for higher
prices to develop. The June chart formation remains inside
a wide trading range between 846.50 and 804.40 that can
stimulate whiplashing to both sides until a breakout is seen to
either side.
Day
trades: For the June contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 839 -
840 area and if possible near 845 for obj. near 832 - 829.50
area and possibly near 826.20. (Use a buy stop and rev.
long at 855.70). (Conservative traders can use a
protective buy stop at 852. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can buy dips near 829.50 -
826.20 for obj. near 833 - 834 area. (Use a protective
sell stop at 824.70. Do not rev. short).
Aggressive traders can attempt long positions
near 821.50 to 820.80 area, if it gets there, for obj. near 825
- 826 area and possibly near 828. (Use a sell stop and
rev. short at 814.70).
Buy stop at 855.70 for obj. near 858.50 - 861
area.
Buy stop at 869 for obj. near 872 and possibly
near 878 area.
Sell stop at 814.70 for obj. near 811 - 808.50
area and possibly near the 804.40 gap.
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