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Archived S & P Daily Reports THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN ALL TRADING. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. ALL RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL. THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
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The week in review - 06/28/04
- 07/02/04
The Tech Guru's S & P
Day Trading Recommendations
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P
- For Monday 06-28-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very significant),
and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE NOT
mentioned, they should be placed below the second support
area listed or above the second resistance area listed,
or 22 points from the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the market
trades through the second support area listed.
The first resistance area becomes the support after the market
trades through the second resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1137.70 and 1138.70 intra-day channels also 1138.50 and 1139 double
peak (major area) / 1142.30 and 1142.50 peaks (major
area) / 1144.20 long-term major weekly channel and 1145.10
newly developed minor weekly channel also 1145.60 minor day
channel and 1145.80 minor weekly channel also 1145.90 day top and
1146.20 double weekly top (very major
area) / 1147.80 minor weekly upper channel and
1148.10 Sept. contract's weekly top also 1149.80 monthly
channel (very major area) /
1155.70 Sept. contract's weekly closing price and 1158.80 GBX weekly
top also 1157.80 weekly chart's closing price (major area)
/ 1160 weekly chart's top and 1161.20 minor weekly channel also
1161.80 minor monthly channel (very
major area) / 1162.20 Sept. contract's weekly top
and 1163.50 weekly chart's top (very
major area) / 1171.20 weekly upper channel (major)
/ 1176.30 and 1177.30 minor monthly upper channels also 1177 and
1178.50 monthly double top (very major
area) / 1189 and 1189.50 weekly double top (major
area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1132.50 and 1131.90 weekly channels also 1131 day bottom (very
major area) / 1130.60 and 1130.30 day channels (very
major area) / 1127.20 weekly channel and 1126.20
minor day channel (very major area)
/ 1125 minor weekly channel and 1124.60 minor day channel (major
area) / 1123.50 and 1122 weekly bottoms also 1121.80 weekly
bottom (major area) / 1120.50 day bottom and
1119.80 monthly closing price (major area) /
1114.30 day gap and 1112.50 weekly chart's bottom also 1112 day
bottom (major area) / 1109 day bottom (major)
/ 1106.40 long-term major day channel also 1106.20 long-term major
weekly channel (very major area)
/1102.50 minor day channel (major area) / 1095.80
long-term major monthly channel (very
major area) / 1093.80 weekly channel (major)
/ 1090 weekly chart's bottom and 1089.50 weekly bottom also 1088.30
monthly channel (very major area)
/ 1084.50 day bottom and 1082.80 minor monthly channel also 1082.40
minor weekly channel (major area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Friday from the major resistance
proved the significance of the area and because the market closed
down for the second day in a row, leaves the chart neutral to
slightly bearish for possible lower prices to develop. Remain
defensive inside the first trading area between 1137.70 - 1138.70
resistance and 1132.50 - 1131.90 support area. The
1130.60 - 1130.20 support is also significant.
Day trades:
For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1137.50 -
1138.70 area or buy dips near 1132.50 - 1131.90 area and if possible
near 1130.60, whichever side comes first, to complete the trade.
(Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1140). (Use a sell stop
and rev. short at 1129.90).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1147.80 -
1149.80 area for obj. near 1143 - 1142 area. (Use a buy stop and
rev. long at 1153).
Buy stop at 1140 for obj. near 1142 - 1144 area and
possibly near 1145.10.
Buy stop at 1153 for obj. near 1155.70 - 1157.80
area.
Sell stop at 1129.90 for obj. near 1127.70 - 1127.20
area and possibly near 1126.20.
Sell stop at 1121.50 for obj. near 1120 - 1119.80
area.
Sell stop at 1118.80 for obj. near 1115.50 - 1114.30
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 06/28/04 (4:07 pm est) Long positions were taken at the 1132.50 and 1131 buy area. The rally up to 1134 is showing signs of resistance at this time for traders to consider taking profits and scratching the trade. It is recommended to exit all long positions at the market, which is trading at 1132.50 at this time, to complete the trade with a small profit. Results: 06/28/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Tuesday 06-29-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1132 and 1132.30 rev. channel also 1132.90 intra-day
channel (major area) / 1133.70 intra-day
channel also 1134 and 1134.50 peak (major area)
/ 1139.50 minor day channel also 1140.50 and 1141 peaks (very
major area) / 1142.70 day top and 1144.20
long-term major weekly channel (very
major area) / 1145.10 minor weekly channel and
1145.60 minor day channel also 1145.50 GBX top and 1145.80 minor
weekly channel also 1145.90 day top and 1146.20 double weekly
top (very major area)
/ 1147.80 minor weekly upper channel and 1148.10 Sept.
contract's weekly top also 1149.80 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1155.70 Sept. contract's
weekly closing price and 1158.80 GBX weekly top also 1157.80
weekly chart's closing price (major area) /
1160 weekly chart's top and 1161.20 minor weekly channel also
1161.80 minor monthly channel (very
major area) / 1162.20 Sept. contract's weekly
top and 1163.50 weekly chart's top (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1131 double bottom (major area) / 1127.20
weekly channel and 1127 minor day channel (very
major area) / 1125 minor weekly channel and
1124.90 minor day channel (major area) /
1123.50 and 1122 weekly bottoms also 1121.80 weekly bottom (major
area) / 1120.50 day bottom and 1119.80 monthly closing
price (major area) / 1114.30 day gap and
1112.50 weekly chart's bottom also 1112 day bottom (major
area) / 1109 day bottom (major) /
1107.30 long-term major day channel also 1106.20 long-term major
weekly channel (very major area)
/1103.30 minor day channel (major area) /
1095.80 long-term major monthly channel (very
major area) / 1093.80 weekly channel (major)
/ 1090 weekly chart's bottom and 1089.50 weekly bottom also
1088.30 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1084.50 day bottom and 1082.80
minor monthly channel also 1082.40 minor weekly channel (major
area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Monday proved the bearish
condition bringing prices lower as expected and leaving
the chart in neutral to bearish condition. A trade below
the 1127.20 channel will fail the last support channel in this
neutral area and will put the chart in bearish territory
for prices to challenge the 1114.30 day gap and possibly near
the 1107.30 and 1095.80 major channels. A trade today
above 1139.50 is slightly bullish but only a trade above the
1145.80 and 1149.80 area can bring any solid bullishness back to
the chart. Remain defensive inside the first trading range
between 1133.70 and 1127.20 area.
Day trades:
For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1132 -
1133.70 area for obj. near 1128.20 - 1127.20 area. (Use a
protective buy stop at 1135. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1137 -
1139.50 area, if it gets there, for obj. near 1133 - 1131 area.
(Use a protective buy stop at 1141.70. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1147.80
- 1149.80 area, if it can get there before the last
day of this month, for obj. near 1144 - 1142.50 area. (Use a
buy stop and rev. long at 1153).
Buy stop at 1153 for obj. near 1155.50 - 1157.80
area.
Sell stop at 1126.70 for obj. near 1125 - 1124.90
area and possibly near 1123.50 bottom.
Sell stop at 1121.50 for obj. near 1120 - 1119.80
area.
Sell stop at 1118.80 for obj. near 1115.50 -
1114.30 gap area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 06/29/04 (2:30 pm est) Short positions were taken at 1137 and 1138.50 area. The sell-off down to 1134.50 is considered an intra-day double bottom and a temporary support area. Day traders can exit all short positions at the market, which is trading at 1135 at this time and take profits. This completes the trade. Results: 06/29/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P
- For Wednesday 06-30-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very significant),
and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE NOT
mentioned, they should be placed below the second support
area listed or above the second resistance area listed,
or 22 points from the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the market
trades through the second support area listed.
The first resistance area becomes the support after the market
trades through the second resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1136.20 peak and 1136.30 minor day channel without GBX prices also
1136.70 peak (very major area)
/ 1137.80 intra-day double peak and 1138.30 day top (major
area) / 1142.40 intra-day gap and 1142.50 peak also 1142.70
day top (major area) / 1144.20 long-term major
weekly channel also 1145 and 1145.50 day channels also 1146.20
weekly double top (very major
area) / 1147.80 minor weekly upper channel
and 1148.10 Sept. contract's weekly top also 1149.80 monthly
channel (very major area) /
1155.70 Sept. contract's weekly closing price and 1158.80 GBX weekly
top also 1157.80 weekly chart's closing price (major area)
/ 1160 weekly chart's top and 1161.20 minor weekly channel also
1161.80 minor monthly channel (very
major area) / 1162.20 Sept. contract's weekly top
and 1163.50 weekly chart's top (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1135.10 intra-day channel and 1135 base also 1134.50 and 1133.80
base (major area) / 1132.90 and 1132.70 newly
developed day channels without GBX prices (major area)
/ 1131.20 and 1131 day bottoms (major area) /
1129.30 newly developed day channel with GBX prices and 1127.80 GBX
bottom also 1127.70 minor day channel (very
major area) / 1125.20 minor day channel (major
area) / 1123.50 and 1122 weekly bottoms also 1121.80
weekly bottom (major area) / 1120.50 day bottom and
1119.80 monthly closing price (major area) /
1114.30 day gap and 1112.50 weekly chart's bottom also 1112 day
bottom (major area) / 1109 day bottom (major)
/ 1108.30 long-term major day channel also 1106.20 long-term major
weekly channel (very major area)
/ 1104.20 minor day channel (major area) / 1095.80
long-term major monthly channel (very
major area).
Comments:
The rally on Tuesday managed to close the session
higher than the last two day's closing prices removing the
bearishness from the chart and leaving it neutral again for
swings either way. Even though the 1146.20 double top is a
significant resistance it is still possible for rallies to penetrate
through to reach the 1149.80 monthly channel before a major
down trend develops. A trade below the 1127.70 channel will
bring the bearishness back to the chart for lower prices.
Remain defensive inside the first trading range between 1138.30
and 1132.70 area and also between the 1144.20 - 1127.70 area.
Day trades:
For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1144.20 -
1146.20 area and if possible near 1148 - 1149.80 area for obj. near
1142 - 1140 area and possibly near 1138.50. (Use a buy stop and
rev. long at 1153). NOTE: If trades are
taken at the 1144.20 area and also at 1148 area before a trade is
complete then change the obj. for both short positions near 1145 -
1143 area, which will complete both trades with a small profit.
Buy stop at 1139 for obj. near 1142 - 1144.20
area.
Buy stop at 1153 for obj. near 1155.50 - 1157.80
area.
Sell stop at 1131.90 for obj. near 1129.70 -
1129.30 area and possibly near 1127.70.
Sell stop at 1124.70 for obj. near 1122 - 1120 area.
Sell stop at 1118.80 for obj. near 1115 - 1114.30
area.
Sell stop at 1111.50 for obj. near 1109.50 - 1108.30
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 06/30/04 (3:31 pm est) The buy stop at 1139 was hit putting traders into long positions. The rally up to 1142 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Results: 06/30/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P
- For Thursday 07-01-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very significant),
and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE NOT
mentioned, they should be placed below the second support
area listed or above the second resistance area listed,
or 22 points from the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the market
trades through the second support area listed.
The first resistance area becomes the support after the market
trades through the second resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1141.50 intra-day channel and 1142.50 peak (major area)
/ 1144.40 day top and 1144.70 minor day channel (very
major area) / 1145.30 day channel, 1145.20 monthly
channel and 1145.90 GBX top also 1146.20 weekly double top (very
major area) / 1147.80 minor weekly upper
channel and 1148.10 Sept. contract's weekly top (very
major area) / 1155.70 Sept. contract's weekly
closing price and 1157.80 GBX weekly top also 1157.80 weekly chart's
closing price (major area) / 1160 weekly chart's
top and 1161.20 minor weekly channel also 1161.80 minor monthly
channel (very major area)
/ 1162.20 Sept. contract's weekly top and 1163.50 weekly chart's top
(very major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1138.40 minor day channel with GBX prices and
1138.20 base (major area) / 1136.70 and 1136.50
base (major area) / 1135 minor day channel
also 1134.60 and 1134.30 day channels (very
major area) / 1133.10 day bottom (major)
/ 1131.20 and 1131 day bottoms also 1130.90 major day channel with
GBX prices (very major area) /
1128.50 minor day channel and 1127.80 GBX bottom (major
area) / 1125.50 minor day channel and 1123.50 weekly bottom
(major area) / 1121.80 weekly bottom and 1120.50
day bottom (major area) / 1116.30 long-term major
monthly channel also 1114.30 day gap and 1112.50 weekly chart's
bottom also 1112 day bottom (major area) / 1109.30
long-term major day channel and 1109 day bottom (very
major area) / 1106.20 long-term major weekly channel
and 1105 minor day channel (very major
area).
Comments:
The rally on Wednesday brought prices up to the
major resistance and can possibly prove to be significant enough to
stimulate selling for retracements to the downside. A trade
above the new 1145.20 monthly channel and 1146.20 double top area
will be considered a breakout for higher prices. A trade below
1135 is slightly bearish but a trade below 1130.90 and 1128.50
channels can prove to be significant enough to bring prices down to
challenge the new 1116.30 monthly channel. Remain defensive
inside the first trading range between 1141.50 - 1135 area and also
between the major trading range from 1145.20 - 1146.20
resistance and 1130.90 - 1128.50 support area.
Day trades:
For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1141.50 -
1145.20 area or buy dips near 1138.40 - 1135 area, whichever side
comes first, to complete the trade. (Use a buy stop and
rev. long at 1149.20). (Use a sell stop and rev. short at
1133.90).
Buy stop at 1149.20 for obj. near 1153 - 1155 area
and possibly near 1157.80.
Sell stop at 1133.90 for obj. near 1131.90 - 1130.90
area
Sell stop at 1129.90 for obj. near 1128.50 - 1127.70
area and possibly near 1125.50.
Sell stop at 1124.50 area for obj. near 1122 -
1120.50 area
Sell stop at 1119 for obj. near 1117 - 1116.30 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/01/04 (9:55 am est) Due to the bearish technical chart formation that has developed the buy side of the first trade near 1138.50 - 1135 is now being cancelled. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/01/04 (11:33 am est) The following trades were completed today as of this time - Sold at 1140.50, which was near enough to the 1141.50 sell area and met the obj. at 1138.50 to complete the trade. The sell stop at 1133.90 was hit putting traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 1131 meets the obj. and completes the trade. The sell stop at 1129.90 was hit putting traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 1128 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/01/04 (1:55 pm est) The sell stop at 1124.50 was hit putting traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 1122.50 is near enough to the 1122 obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/01/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P
- For Friday 07-02-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very significant),
and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE NOT
mentioned, they should be placed below the second support
area listed or above the second resistance area listed,
or 22 points from the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the market
trades through the second support area listed.
The first resistance area becomes the support after the market
trades through the second resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1127.90 intra-day channel (major) / 1129 intra-day
channel also 1129 and 1130.50 peaks (major area) /
1136 and 1136.20 peaks and 1136.40 day channel (very
major area) / 1139.20 peak and 1140.40 day top (major
area) / 1142.60 minor day channel with GBX prices and
1143.50 GBX top also 1144.40 minor day channel and 1144.40 day top (very
major area) / 1145.10 major day channel and 1145.20
monthly channel and 1145.90 GBX top also 1146.20 weekly double
top (very major area)
/ 1147.80 minor weekly upper channel and 1148.10 Sept.
contract's weekly top (very major
area) / 1155.70 Sept. contract's weekly closing
price and 1157.80 GBX weekly top also 1157.80 weekly chart's closing
price (major area) / 1160 weekly chart's top and
1161.20 minor weekly channel also 1161.80 minor monthly channel (very
major area) / 1162.20 Sept. contract's weekly top
and 1163.50 weekly chart's top (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1124.10 and 1123.80 base area also 1123.80 newly developed day
channel (very major area)
/ 1122.50 day bottom and 1121.80 weekly bottom (major area)
/ 1120.50 day bottom and 1119.80 monthly closing price (major
area) / 1116.30 long-term major monthly channel (very
major area) / 1114.30 day gap and 1112.50 weekly
chart's bottom also 1112 day bottom (major area) /
1110.20 long-term major day channel and 1109 day bottom (very
major area) / 1106.20 long-term major weekly
channel and 1105.80 minor day channel (very
major area) / 1095.50, 1094.70 and 1092.50
weekly closing prices (very major
area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Thursday from the major
resistance area materialized as expected bringing prices down below
all the support channels that were inside this 4 week congestion
area leaving the chart in bearish condition for prices to challenge
the new 1116.30 monthly channel and possibly lower. A trade
below 1110.20 will confirm the major downtrend intact for lower
prices to follow. A trade today above 1136.40 is slightly
bullish but only a trade above the 1145.20 monthly channel can
bring any solid bullishness back to the chart. Remain
defensive inside the first trading range between 1127.90 and 1123.80
area and also between the 1136.40 and 1116.30 area.
Day trades:
For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1127.50 -
1127.90 area and if possible near 1129 for obj. near 1124.60 - 1123.80
area. (Use a protective buy stop at 1132. Do not rev
long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1136 -
1136.40 area, if it gets there, for obj. near 1132 - 1129 area
and possibly near 1126. (Use a protective buy stop at 1139.40.
Do not rev. long).
Sell stop at 1123 for obj. near 1120.70 - 1120.50
area and possibly near 1119.80.
Sell stop at 1118.70 for obj. near 1116.70 - 1116.30
area.
Sell stop at 1115.70 for obj. near 1114.30 gap -
1112.50 and possibly near 1110.20.
Sell stop at 1108.50 for obj. near 1106.80 - 1106.30
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/02/04 (9:44 am est) Short positions were taken on the open at 1128. The sell-off down to 1125 is near enough to the 1124.50 obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/02/04 (10:09 am est) The sell stop at 1123 was hit putting traders into short positions. The 1122.50 is showing signs of support at this time. Exit the short position at the market, which is trading at 1123.30 at scratch the trade. Traders can consider selling on rallies near 1125 - 1126 area for obj. near 1123. Use a protective buy stop at 1129.50 for this trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/02/04 (12:45 pm est) Short positions were taken at 1126 and 1129. The sell-off down to 1123.50 is near enough to the 1123 obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/02/04
The week in review - 07/06/04
- 07/09/04
The Tech Guru's S & P
Day Trading Recommendations
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S & P
- For Tuesday 07-06-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very significant),
and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE NOT
mentioned, they should be placed below the second support
area listed or above the second resistance area listed,
or 22 points from the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the market
trades through the second support area listed.
The first resistance area becomes the support after the market
trades through the second resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1126 intra-day channel also 1126 and 1126.50 peaks (major
area) / 1126.70 and 1127 peaks also 1128.30 peak and
1128.40 day channel (very major area)
/ 1129.30 day top and 1130.50 peak (major area)
/ 1135.60 and 1136.20 peaks (major area) / 1139 and
1139.20 peaks also 1140 peak and 140.20 day top and monthly channel
and 1140.80 day channel with GBX prices (very
major area) / 1142.20 day channel with GBX prices
and 1142.40 long-term major weekly channel without GBX prices also
1142.60 minor weekly channel without GBX prices (very
major area) / 1143.50 long-term major weekly channel
with GBX prices and 1144.40 day top also 1144.80 minor weekly
channel with GBX prices and 1145.20 monthly channel also 1145.40
minor weekly channel (very major area)
/ 1146.20 weekly double top and 1148.10 Sept. contract's weekly top (major
area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1123.80 and 1123.70 day channels also 1123.60 and 1123.50 base (major
area) / 1122.90 and 1122.60 minor day channel and 1122.50
weekly bottom also 1121.80 weekly bottom (major area)
/ 1120.50 day bottom and 1119.80 monthly closing price (major
area) / 1116.30 long-term major monthly channel (very
major area) / 1114.30 day gap and 1112.50 weekly
chart's bottom also 1112.10 long-term major day channel and 1112 day
bottom (very major area) /
1109 day bottom and 1107.50 minor day channel (major area)
/ 1101.20 monthly channel (very major
area) / 1098.60 and 1096.50 weekly channels (very
major area) / 1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090
weekly chart's bottom also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom
(very major area) / 1084.50 day bottom and
1184.20 minor monthly bottom also 1183.40 minor weekly bottom (major
area) / 1078.20 and 1075.30 weekly chart's bottoms also
1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area).
Comments:
The double bottom support at 1122.50 made on
Friday's session is showing signs of support but the sell-off from
the major resistance area proved to close on Friday lower then the
last three weeks closes, leaving the chart in neutral to bearish
territory. A trade above 1128.40 - 1130.50 area can challenge
the 1136.20 area and possibly near 1139 - 1140.80 area. Only a
trade above 1142.40 - 1143.50 area and 1145.20 monthly channel can
bring any solid bullishness back to the chart. A trade below
1123.70 - 1122.60 area is bearish but a trade below 1116.30 monthly
channel will confirm the beginning of the major downtrend.
Remain defensive inside the first trade range between 1128.40 -
1130.50 resistance and 1123.70 - 1122.60 support area.
Day trades:
For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1126 -
1128.40 area and if possible near 1130.50 for obj. near 1124 - 1123.70
area and possibly near 1122.90. (Use a protective buy stop at
1132. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1135.50 -
1136.20 area and if possible near 1138 for obj. near 1133 - 1131 area
and possibly near 1129. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at
1149.70). (Conservative traders can use a protective buy stop at
1141. Do not rev. long). NOTE:
Additional short positions can be added near 1143.50 - 1145.20 area.
(Continue to use a buy stop and rev. long at 1149.70).
Buy stop at 1149.70 for obj. near 1153 - 1155.70 and
possibly near 1157.70.
Sell stop at 1119 for obj. near 1117 - 1116.30 area.
Sell stop at 1115.70 for obj. near 1114.30 gap -
1112.50 area and possibly near 1112.10.
Sell stop at 1108 for obj. near 1103.50 - 1101.20
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/06/04 (11:58 am est) The sell stop at 1119 was hit putting traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 1117 meets the obj. and completes the trade. The sell stop at 1115.70 was hit putting traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 1114.30 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/06/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S &
P - For Wednesday 07-07-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1115.70 and 1115.90 peaks also 1116.50 minor
day channel without GBX prices (major area) /
1119 intra-day channel and 1119.20 peak also 1120.50 peak and
1120.80 day top (major area) / 1123.90 GBX
channel and 1124.40 day channel without GBX prices also 1125.80
weekly closing gap (very
major area) / 1128.80 GBX top and 1129.30 day
top also 1130.50 peak (major area) / 1135.20
weekly closing price and 1136.20 peaks (major area)
/ 1139.90 minor day channel with GBX prices and 1140.20
monthly channel also 1140.40 day top (very
major area) / 1141.60 minor day channel
and 1142.40 long-term major weekly channel without GBX prices also
1142.60 minor weekly channel without GBX prices (very
major area) / 1143.50 long-term major weekly
channel with GBX prices and 1144.40 day top also 1144.80 minor
weekly channel with GBX prices and 1145.20 monthly channel also
1145.40 minor weekly channel (very
major area) / 1146.20 weekly double top and
1148.10 Sept. contract's weekly top (major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1114.30 base and 1114.20 rev. channel also 1113.10 long-term major
day channel (very major area) /
1112.50 double bottom to the weekly chart and 1112 day bottom
also 1110.90 long-term major weekly channel (very
major area) / 1109 day bottom and 1108.30
minor day channel (major area) / 1101.20 monthly
channel (very major area)
/ 1098.60 and 1096.50 weekly channels (very
major area) / 1090.30 minor monthly channel and
1090 weekly chart's bottom also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly
bottom (very major area)
/ 1084.50 day bottom and 1084.20 minor monthly bottom also 1083.40
minor weekly bottom (major area) / 1078.20
and 1075.30 weekly chart's bottoms also 1077.50 and 1075 Sept.
chart's weekly bottoms (very major
area).
Comments:
The sell-off on
Tuesday brought prices down to close below the 1116.30
major monthly channel, which puts the monthly chart in bearish
territory and the major trend down. A trade above 1116.50
can challenge the 1119 channel and above 1119.20 can challenge the
1123.90 and 1124.40 channels. Only a trade above 1124.40 can
bring some bullishness back to the chart for prices to challenge
the 1128.80 - 1130.50 area and possibly near the 1136 - 1139 area.
A trade below 1113.10 and 1110.90 channels are bearish but a
trade below 1101.20 monthly channel will confirm the downtrend
intact for lower prices. Remain defensive inside the first
trading range between the 1116.50 and 1119 resistance areas and
the 1113.10 and 1110.90 support areas.
Day trades:
For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1116 -
1118 area for obj. near 1114 - 1113.10 area. (Use a protective
buy stop at 1120.90. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1123 -
1124.40 area, if it gets there, for obj. near 1119 - 1117 area.
(Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1131).
Buy stop at 1131 for obj. near 1134 - 1136 area.
Buy stop at 1136.70 for obj. near 1138.70 - 1139
area and possibly near 1140.20.
Sell stop at 1112.40 for obj. near 1111.20 -
1110.90 area.
Sell stop at 1107.30 for obj. near 1103.30 -
1101.20 area.
Sell stop at 1100 for obj. near 1098.60 - 1096.50
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/07/04 (11:48 am est) The rally up to 1116 - 1118 area put traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 1114.80 is near enough to the 1114 obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/07/04 (3:29 pm est) The rally up to 1122 was near enough to the 1123 sell area putting traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 1118 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/07/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S &
P - For Thursday 07-08-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against the
trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1119 GBX channel and 1120.10 intra-day
channel also 1120.40 day channel without GBX prices (very
major area) / 1121.80
day top and 1122.50 rev. base (major area) /
1125.80 weekly closing gap (major) / 1128.80 GBX
top and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak (major area) /
1135.20 weekly closing price and 1136.20 peak (major area)
/ 1139 minor day channel and 1140.20 monthly channel also
1140.40 day top (very major
area) / 1141.10 minor day
channel and 1142.40 long-term major weekly channel without GBX
prices also 1142.60 minor weekly channel without GBX prices (very
major area) / 1143.20 minor
day channel and 1143.50 long-term major weekly channel with GBX
prices also 1144.40 day top and 1144.80 minor weekly channel with
GBX prices also 1145.20 monthly channel (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1117.30 intra-day channel and 1117.10 base (major
area) / 1115.50 and 1115.30 minor day channels also
1114.10 long-term major day channel and 1114 day bottom and
1113.90 GBX bottom (very major
area) / 1112.50
double bottom to the weekly chart and 1112 day bottom also
1110.90 long-term major weekly channel (very
major area) / 1109.20 minor day channel and 1109
day bottom (major area) / 1101.20 monthly channel
(very major area) /
1098.60 and 1096.50 weekly channels (very
major area) / 1090.30 minor monthly channel and
1090 weekly chart's bottom also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly
bottom (very major area)
/ 1084.50 day bottom and 1084.20 minor monthly bottom also 1083.40
minor weekly bottom (major area) / 1078.20
and 1075.30 weekly chart's bottoms also 1077.50 and 1075 Sept.
chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area).
Comments:
Wednesday's
trading range remained below the major resistance and closing
below Thursday's channels at 1119 and 1120.40 area, leaves
the chart in bearish territory. A trade above 1119 - 1120.40
area is slightly bullish but only a trade above the 1128.80 -
1130.50 area can bring any significant bullishness back to the chart.
A trade above 1145.20 will bring the uptrend back into
play. A trade below 1115.50 - 1114.10 area is bearish but a
trade below 1110.90 - 1109.20 area can bring prices down to
challenge the 1101.20 major support. A trade below 1101.20
will confirm the downtrend intact for lower prices. Remain
defensive inside the major trading range between
1119 - 1120.40 resistance and 1110.90 - 1109.20 support area.
The market already fail the 1114.10 channel support in the
GBX session, while this report is being written, putting
additional bearishness into the chart at this time.
Day trades:
For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1119 -
1120.40 area, if it gets there again, for obj. near 1115.50 -
1114.10 area. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1123.50).
Buy stop at 1123.50 for obj. near 1125 - 1125.80
gap area.
Buy stop at 1131.50 for obj. near 1134 - 1136 area.
If the market opens above 1117 - Sell stop at 1117
for obj. near 1115.50 - 1114.10 area.
If the market opens above 1114.10 - Sell stop at
1113.80 for obj. near 1112 - 1110.90 area.
Sell stop at 1108 for obj. near 1104 - 1101.20
area.
Sell stop at 1100 for obj. near 1098.60 - 1096.50
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/08/04 (10:12 am est) The sell stop at 1113.80 was hit, putting traders into short positions. The sell off down to 1112 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/08/04 (11:36 am est) The rally up to 1118.80 is near enough to the 1119 sell area, putting traders into short positions. The obj. remains near 1115.50 - 1114.10 area. (Continue to use a buy stop and rev. long at 1123.50). Bulletin - Originally sent 07/08/04 (12:27 pm est) Short positions were taken at 1118.80. The sell off down to 1116.50 is showing signs of support and is near enough to the 1115.50 obj. to complete the trade. Results: 07/08/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Friday 07-09-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1111.70 peak and 1112.80 Intra-day
channel (major area) / 1114 peak and 1114.10
GBX channel also 1114.30 peak (major area) /
1115.20 intra-day channel and 1115.50 peak also 1115.80 peak
and 1116.20 minor day channel and 1110.40 day channel without
GBX prices (very major area)
/ 1117.30 and 1117.70 peaks also 1118 intra-day
channel and 1119 day top (major area) /1121.80
day top and 1122.50 rev. base (major area) /
1125.80 weekly closing gap (major) / 1128.80
GBX top and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak (major
area) / 1135.20 weekly closing price and 1136.20 peak
(major area) / 1138.10 minor day channel (major)
/ 1140.20 monthly channel and 1140.40 day top also
1140.50 minor day channel (very
major area) / 1142.40
long-term major weekly channel without GBX prices also 1142.60
minor weekly channel without GBX prices (very
major area) /1143.50
long-term major weekly channel with GBX prices also 1144.40
day top and 1144.80 minor weekly channel with GBX prices also
1145.20 monthly channel (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1108.80 newly developed day channel and 1108 day bottom (major
area) / 1105.70 minor down channel (major) /
1102.50 down channel and 1101.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1098.60 and 1096.50 weekly
channels (very major area)
/ 1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090 weekly chart's bottom
also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom
(very major area) / 1084.50 day bottom
and 1084.20 minor monthly bottom also 1083.40 minor weekly
bottom (major area) / 1078.20 and 1075.30
weekly chart's bottoms also 1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's
weekly bottoms (very major area).
Comments:
The
sell-off on Thursday brought prices below the 1110.90 and
1109.20 resistance areas and also managed to close below
the daily down channels, now at 1114.10 and 1116.40,
leaving the chart in bearish territory. A trade above
1114.10 and 1116.40 can bring prices up to challenge the
1117.70 - 1119 area and possibly near the 1125.80 weekly closing
gap. NOTE: Only a trade above
1128.80 - 1130.50 can bring any significant bullishness back
to the chart and only a trade above 1145.20 can bring the
uptrend back into play. A trade below 1108.80 - 1108
area is bearish and a trade below 1101.20 will confirm the
downtrend intact for lower prices. Remain defensive
inside the first trading range between 1112.80 - 1114.10 resistance
and 1108.80 - 1108 support and also 1116.40 to 1105.70 trading
area.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1112.50 - 1114.10 area for obj. near 1110 - 1108 area.
(Use a protective buy stop at 1114.70. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1116.40 - 1117.70 area for obj. near 1114.50 - 1113.20 area.
(Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1120.30).
Buy stop at 1120.30 for obj. near 1123 -
1125.80 gap area.
Buy stop at 1131.50 for obj. near 1134 - 1136
area.
Sell stop at 1107.30 for obj. near 1106 -
1105.70 area.
Sell stop at 1104.70 area for obj. near 1102.70
- 1101.20 area.
Sell stop at 1100 for obj. near 1098.60 -
1096.50 area and possibly near 1094.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/09/04 (9:49 am est) Long positions were taken on the open at 1113.50. The rally up to 1114.70 met the buy stop completing the trade with a small loss. The rally up to 1115.50 is near enough to the 1116.40 sell area, putting traders into short positions. The sell off down to 1113.60 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/09/04
The week in review - 07/12/04
- 07/16/04
The Tech Guru's S & P
Day Trading Recommendations
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Monday 07-12-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1113.40 minor day channel and 1113.50 peak also 1114.20 peak and
1114.30 minor day channel without GBX prices (very
major area) / 1115.10 peak and 1115.30 day top
also 1115.50 and 1115.80 peaks (major area) /
1117.70 peak and 1119 day top (major area) /
1121.80 day top and 1122.50 rev. base (major area)
/ 1125.80 weekly closing gap (major area) /
1128.80 GBX top and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak (major
area) / 1135.20 weekly closing price and 1136.20 peak
also 1137.20 minor day channel (major area) /
1140.20 monthly channel and 1140.40 long-term major weekly
channel without GBX prices and 1140.40 day top also 1140.80
minor weekly channel and 1141.50 long-term major weekly channel
with GBX prices (very major area)
/ 1142.60 minor day channel and 1143.50 GBX top (major
area) / 1144.40 weekly top and 1145.20 monthly channel
also 1145.50 GBX weekly top and 1146.20 major double top
(very major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1112.60 newly developed long-term major weekly channel and
1112.20 weekly channel also 1112 minor day channel and 1111.50
base (very major area)
/ 1110 day bottom and 1109.90 newly developed long-term major
day channel also 1109.60 and 1109.20 day channels and 1108
weekly bottom (very major area)
/ 1103.50 minor daily down channel (major) /
1101.80 weekly channel and 1101.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1099.50 major day channel and
1099.10 weekly channel (major area) / 1093.50
minor weekly down channel (major) /
1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090 weekly chart's bottom
also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (very
major area) / 1084.50 day bottom and 1084.40
minor weekly channel also 1084.20 minor monthly channel (major
area) / 1078.20 and 1075.30 weekly chart's bottoms
also 1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area).
Comments:
Friday's narrow trading range remained inside
the first daily neutral area but managed to close down for the
week leaving the chart neutral to bearish. A trade below
1112.60 - 1112 area is bearish but a trade below 1109.90 -
1109.20 channel areas and 1108 bottom can bring prices
down to challenge the 1101.80 and 1101.20 major support area.
A trade below 1101.20 will confirm the downtrend intact for
lower prices. A trade today above 1114.30 - 1115.30 area
is slightly bullish. A trade above 1119 - 1121.80 area can
bring prices up to challenge the 1125.80 gap - 1128.80 GBX top
and possibly can trade up near 1135.20 but only a trade above
1137.20 - 1140.20 areas can bring any solid bullishness back to
the chart. Remain defensive inside the first trading range
between 1114.30 - 1115.30 resistance and 1112.60 - 1109.20
support area.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1114 -
1115 area for obj. near 1112.60 - 1111.50 area and possibly near
1110 - 1109.60 area (Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1116.30).
Buy stop at 1116.30 for obj. near 1117.50 -
1118.50 area and possibly near 1119 top.
Buy stop at 1120.30 for obj. near 1122 - 1122.50
area and possibly near 1125.80 gap area.
Buy stop at 1131 for obj. near 1134 - 1135 area
and possibly near 1136 - 1137 area.
Sell stop at 1107.70 for obj. near 1104.70 -
1103.50 area.
Sell stop at 1103.30 for obj. near 1101.80 -
1101.20 area.
Sell stop at 1198 for obj. near 1094.50 - 1093.50
area.
Sell stop at 1093 for obj. near 1091 - 1090.30
area.
Sell stop at 1088 for obj. near 1085 - 1084.20
area.
Results: 07/12/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY
TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Tuesday 07-13-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value - (very
major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops ARE
NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the second
support area listed or above the second resistance
area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1113.80 and 1114.60 intra-day channels also 1114, 1114.30 and
1114.80 minor day channels (very
major area) / 1115.20 peak and 1116.20 day top
also 1117.70 peak (major area) / 1118.10 day
session closing price and 1119 day top (major area) /
1121.80 day top and 1122.50 rev. base (major area)
/ 1125.80 weekly closing gap (major area) /
1128.80 GBX top and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak (major
area) / 1135.20 weekly closing price and 1136.20 peak
also 1136.30 minor day channel (major area) /
1140.20 monthly channel and 1140.40 long-term major weekly
channel without GBX prices and 1140.40 day top also 1140.80
minor weekly channel and 1141.50 long-term major weekly channel
with GBX prices (very major area)
/ 1142.60 minor day channel and 1143.50 GBX top (major
area) / 1144.40 weekly top and 1145.20 monthly channel
also 1145.50 GBX weekly top and 1146.20 major double top
(very major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1112.70 and 1111.80 base area (major area) /
1109.50 and 1109 rev. peak (major area) /
1107.10 newly developed long-term major day channel also
1106.90 and 1106.70 day channels also 1105.30 minor down channel
(very major area) /
1101.80 weekly channel and 1101.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1100.10 major day channel and
1099.10 weekly channel (major area) / 1093.50
minor weekly down channel (major) /
1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090 weekly chart's bottom
also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (very
major area) / 1084.50 day bottom and 1084.40
minor weekly channel also 1084.20 minor monthly channel (major
area) / 1078.20 and 1075.30 weekly chart's bottoms
also 1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area).
Comments:
The rally on Monday, came to a bit
surprise, but after some research it was found the Dow
and NASDAQ hit their major weekly support area at the time the S
& P hit the low, and simultaneously, stimulated rallies
across the board in all three markets. The S & P close
higher then the last two days after making new lows, which is
technically considered a minor key reversal and slightly
bullish. But because the market closed down for two weeks
in a row and also closed below the major monthly channel last
Tuesday, at 1116.30, it keeps the downtrend intact but
leaves the chart totally neutral at this time. A trade
today above the 1114, 114.30 and 1114.80 minor channels is
slightly bullish but prices a trade above the 1119 and
1121.80 tops can challenge the 1125.80 gap and possibly
near 1128.80 - 1130.50 area. Only a trade above
1140.20 and 1145.20 can bring any solid bullishness back to the
chart. A trade below 1101.20 will confirm the major
downtrend intact for lower prices. Remain defensive inside the
first narrow neutral range between 1114 - 1112.60 and
1116.20 - 1107.10 area.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1114 -
1116 area or buy dips near 1112.60 - 1109.90 area, whichever
side comes first to complete the trade. (Use a buy stop
and rev. long at 1117.80). (Use a sell stop and rev. short
at 1105).
Buy stop at 1117.80 for obj. near 1119.80 - 1122
area.
Buy stop at 1123.70 for obj. near 1125 - 1125.80
gap.
Buy stop at 1131 for obj. near 1134 - 1136.30
area.
Sell stop at 1105 for obj. near 1102.50 - 1101.20
area.
Sell stop at 1098 for obj. near 1094.50 - 1093.50
area.
Sell stop at 1088 for obj. near 1085.50 - 1084.20
area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/13/04 (12:04 pm est) Short positions were taken at 1115. The sell-off down to 1112.60 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/13/04 (1:14 pm est) The rally up to 1115 put traders into short positions again. The sell off down to 1112.60 meets the obj. and completes the trade for the second time. Results: 07/13/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Wednesday 07-14-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1114.50 and 1115 newly developed minor day channels also 1116
and 1116.20 day tops (very major
area) / 1118.10 day session closing price
and 1119 day top (major area) / 1121.80
day top and 1122.50 rev. base (major area) /
1125.80 weekly closing gap (major area) /
1128.80 GBX top and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak (major
area) / 1135.20 weekly closing price and 1135.40
minor day channel also 1136.20 peak (major area)
/ 1140.20 monthly channel and 1140.40 long-term major
weekly channel without GBX prices and 1140.40 day top also
1140.80 minor weekly channel and 1141.50 long-term major
weekly channel with GBX prices (very
major area) / 1142.60 minor day channel and
1143.50 GBX top (major area) / 1144.40 weekly
top and 1145.20 monthly channel also 1145.50 GBX weekly top
and 1146.20 major double top (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1112.70 and 1112.50 base area also 1112.30 day bottom and
1111 GBX bottom (major area) / 1108.10
long-term major day channel and 1107.60 day channel also
1107.20 day channel (very major
area) / 1106.20 day bottom and 1104.40 minor
down channel (major area) / 1101.80 weekly
channel and 1101.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1100.70 major day channel and
1099.10 weekly channel (major area) / 1093.50
minor weekly down channel (major) /
1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090 weekly chart's bottom
also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (very
major area) / 1084.50 day bottom and 1084.40
minor weekly channel also 1084.20 minor monthly channel (major
area) / 1078.20 and 1075.30 weekly chart's
bottoms also 1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area).
Comments:
Tuesday's session remained inside the
narrow neutral range proving the total neutral condition in
the chart that still remains at this time. A trade above
1114.50 - 1115 day channels and 1116.20 day top is slightly
bullish that can bring prices up to challenge the 1119 and
1121.80 day tops and possibly near the 1125.80 weekly gap.
NOTE: Only a trade above 1140.20 and
1145.20 can bring any solid bullishness back to the chart.
A trade below 1108.10 - 1107.20 channels are bearish and
can bring prices down to challenge the 1101.80 and
1101.20 major supports. A trade below 1101.20 monthly
channel will confirm the major downtrend intact for lower
prices. Remain defensive inside the first trading range
between 1114.50 - 1115 resistance and 1108.10 - 1107.20
support area until the market can prove a breakout to either
side.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1114
- 1115 area or, if the market gaps down
on the open, sell near 1112.70 for obj. near 1109 -
1108.10 area and possibly near 1107.20. (Use a buy stop
and rev. long at 1117.80).
Buy stop at 1117.80 for obj. near 1120 - 1122
area.
Buy stop at 1122.70 for obj. near 1124 -
1125.80 gap.
Buy stop at 1131 for obj. near 1134 - 1136
area.
Sell stop at 1110.90 for obj. near 1109 -
1108.10 area and possibly near 1107.20.
Sell stop at 1105.90 for obj. near 1104.40 -
1101.80 area and possibly near 1101.20.
Sell stop at 1098 for obj. near 1094.50 -
1093.50 area.
Sell stop at 1088 for obj. near 1085.50 -
1084.20 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/14/04 (12:04 pm est) The rally up to 1111.20 is near enough to the 1112.70 sell area, putting traders into short positions. The obj. remains near 1109 - 1108.10 area. Continue to look to sell near 1114 - 1115 area, using a buy stop and rev. long at 1117.80. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/14/04 (11:08 am est) 1117.80 buy stop was hit, putting traders into long positions. The market is showing signs of resistance that can prevent the obj. near 1120 from being met. It is recommended for traders to exit the long position and rev. short at the market, which is trading at 1117 at this time. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1119.50). The obj. for the buy stop at 1119.50 will be near 1122 - 1124 area. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/14/04 (11:47 am est) The buy stop at 1119.50 was hit, putting traders into long positions. The market continues to show signs of resistance in this area and overbought conditions that can prevent the obj. from being met. It is recommended for traders to exit long positions at the market, which is trading at 1118.50 and cut losses. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/14/04 (2:56 pm est) Short positions were re-entered at 1119 again. The sell-off down to 1109.30 is near enough to the 1109 obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/14/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Thursday 07-15-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1111.80 and 1112.40 peaks (major area)
/ 1114.80 and 1115 peaks also 1115.20 intra-day channel (major
area) / 1117 day channel with GBX prices (very
major area) / 1118.20 and 1118.50 minor day
channels also 1119 peak and 1119.30 minor day channel also
1119.70 day top (very
major area) / 1121.80 day top and 1122.50
rev. base (major area) / 1125.80 weekly
closing gap (major area) / 1128.80 GBX top
and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak (major area)
/ 1134.50 minor day channel and 1135.20 weekly closing
price (major area) / 1139.40 minor day
channel (major area) / 1140.20
monthly channel and 1140.40 long-term major weekly channel
without GBX prices and 1140.40 day top also 1140.80 minor
weekly channel and 1141.50 long-term major weekly channel with
GBX prices also 1141.70 minor day channel (very
major area) / 1142.60 minor day channel and
1143.50 GBX top (major area) / 1144.40 weekly
top and 1145.20 monthly channel also 1145.50 GBX weekly top
and 1146.20 major double top (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1109.20 base (major) / 1108.10 newly
developed long-term major day channel and 1107.60 day channel (very
major area) / 1107.20 day bottom and 1106.10
day bottom (major area) / 1103.50 minor down
channel (major) / 1101.80 weekly channel
and 1101.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1099.10 weekly channel (major) /
1093.50 minor weekly down channel (major) /
1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090 weekly chart's bottom
also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (very
major area) / 1084.50 day bottom and 1084.40
minor weekly channel also 1084.20 minor monthly channel (major
area) / 1078.20 and 1075.30 weekly chart's
bottoms also 1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area).
Comments:
The whiplashing action on Wednesday is a
common technical occurrence whenever a neutral condition develops.
Since the market made new highs for the week and closed lower
then the last three days closing prices it is considered
a minor reversal to the downside and puts some bearishness
back into the neutral condition for possible lower prices to
now develop. A trade above the 1117 and 1119.30
channels can bring prices up to challenge the 1125.80 weekly
gap and possibly near the 1128.80 - 1130.50 area. But
only a trade above the 1140.20 and 1145.20 major channels can
bring any solid bullishness back to the chart. A trade
today below 1108.10 - 1107.60 is bearish and below 1101.20
will confirm the downtrend intact for lower prices.
Remain defensive inside the first major trading range between
1117 and 1108.10 area until the market can breakout to either
side of this neutral to slightly bearish condition.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1113.70 - 1115.20 area and if possible near 1117 for obj. near
1110 - 1108.10 area. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at
1122.80).
Buy stop at 1122.80 for obj. near 1124.80 -
1125.80 area.
Buy stop at 1131 for obj. near 1133 - 1135
area.
Sell stop at 1105.90 for obj. near 1103.70 -
1101.80 area and possibly near 1101.20.
Sell stop at 1098 for obj. near 1094.50 -
1093.50 area.
Sell stop at 1088 for obj. near 1085.50 -
1084.20 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/15/04 (10:07 am est) Short positions were taken at 1113.70. The sell-off down to 1110.80 is near enough to the 1110 obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/15/04 (1:44 pm est) Short positions were taken again at 1115. The sell-off down to 1110.50 is near enough to the 1110 obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/15/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Friday 07-16-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1105.20 and 1105.80 intra-day channels (major area)
/ 1106.20 and 1107.20 peaks also 1107 and 1107.30 intra-day
channels (major area) / 1109.50 intra-day
channel and peak also 1109.70 day channel and 1110.40 peak (very
major area) /1112 peak and 1112.50 intra-day
channel (major area) / 1114.40 day channel
with GBX prices and 1114.40 peak also 1114.70 day top and 1115
peak (very major area)
/ 1116.70 minor day channel and 1116.80 peak also 1117.30
minor day channel without GBX prices (major area)
/ 1118.90 minor day channel and 1119 peak also 1119.70 day top
(major area) / 1121.80 day top and
1122.50 rev. base (major area) / 1125.80
weekly closing gap (major area) / 1128.80 GBX
top and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak (major area)
/ 1133.60 minor day channel and 1135.20 weekly closing
price (major area) / 1139 minor day channel (major
area) / 1140.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1145.20 monthly channel and
1146.20 major double top (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1102.20 minor down channel and 1101.80 weekly channel also
1101.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1099.10 weekly channel (major) /
1093.50 minor weekly down channel (major) /
1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090 weekly chart's bottom
also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (very
major area) / 1084.50 day bottom and 1084.40
minor weekly channel also 1084.20 minor monthly channel (major
area) / 1078.20 and 1075.30 weekly chart's
bottoms also 1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area) / 1065.20
Sept. chart's weekly bottom (major area) /
1055.80 Sept. chart's monthly closing price and 1053 monthly
bottom (very major area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Thursday had developed as
expected leaving the chart bearish but also bringing prices
down near a very major support area. A trade below the
1101.80 and 1101.20 major supports will confirm the downtrend
intact for lower prices. A trade today above 1109.50 -
1109.70 channels can bring prices up to challenge the 1112.50
- 1114.40 area and possibly near the 1116.70 - 1117.30
channels. Only a trade above 1117.30 and 1118.90 can
bring some bullishness back to the chart and a close on Friday
above 1118 will be bullish enough for high prices to
develop for next week. Remain defensive inside the first
narrow trading range between 1105.80 and 1102.20 area and
also between the first major area from 1109.70 to 1101.20.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1105
- 1105.80 area and if possible near 1107.30 for obj. near
1102.50 - 1102.20 area and possibly near 1101.20. (Use a
protective buy stop at 1108.30. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1109.50 - 1109.70 area for obj. near 1106.70 - 1105.70 area.
(Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1110.70).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1114
- 1114.40 area and if possible near 1116.70 - 1117.30 area for
obj. near 1112 - 1110.70 area. (Use a buy stop and rev.
long at 1122.80).
Buy stop at 1110.70 for obj. near 1112 -
1112.50 area and possibly near 1114 - 1114.40 area.
Buy stop at 1122.80 for obj. near 1124.80 -
1125.80 gap area.
Sell stop at 1100.70 for obj. near 1099.70 -
1099.10 area.
Sell stop at 1098 for obj. near 1094.50 -
1093.50 area.
Sell stop at 1088 for obj. near 1085.50 -
1084.20 area.
Very aggressive
traders can attempt long positions near 1090.50 -
1089.50 area for obj. near 1093.50 - 1094.50 area.
(Use a sell stop and rev. short at 1088).
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/16/04 (8:58 am est) Since the GBX session brought prices above the first two resistance areas the first aggressive trade listed to sell near 1105 - 1105.80 and 1107.30 is now cancelled. Note: If the day session opens above 1109.70 then the second aggressive trade listed to sell near 1109.50 - 1109.70 will be cancelled also. Results: 07/16/04
The week in review - 07/19/04
- 07/23/04
The Tech Guru's S & P
Day Trading Recommendations
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Monday 07-19-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1104.40 and 1104.80 peaks also 1104.90
intra-day channel (major area) / 1106.80
weekly channel and 1107.40 weekly channel without GBX prices
also 1107.50 and 1107.80 peaks also 1108.10 minor day channel
and 1108.50 peak (very major
area) / 1109.20 peak and 1109.30 minor day
channel (major area) / 1110.60 minor weekly
channel and 1111 peak also 1111.70 day channel with GBX prices
and 1112 day top also 1112.30 day channel without GBX prices (very
major area) / 1114.40 peak and 1114.70 day top
also 1115.10 day channel and 1116.10 day channel without GBX
prices (very major area)
/ 1117.60 minor weekly channel without GBX prices and 1118.40
minor day channel (major area) / 1119.70
weekly top (major) / 1121.80 weekly top and
1122.50 rev. base (major area) / 1125.80
weekly closing gap (major area) / 1128.80 GBX
weekly top and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak (major
area) / 1132.70 minor day channel (major)
/ 1138.50 and 1139.60 long-term major weekly channels, without
and with GBX prices also 1140.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1144.30 minor monthly channel
and 1145.20 monthly channel also 1146.20 major double top
(very major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1101.80 weekly channel and 1101.80 base (very
major area) / 1100.20 weekly bottom also
1098.90 and 1098.70 newly developed minor down channels (major
area) / 1092.40 minor monthly down channel and
1092.20 daily down channel also 1091.80 weekly closing price (major
area) / 1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090 weekly
chart's bottom also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (very
major area) / 1085.40 minor weekly channel and
1084.50 day bottom also 1084.20 minor monthly channel (very
major area) / 1079.90 minor day channel and
1079 minor weekly down channel also 1078.20 weekly chart's
bottom (major area) / 1077.50 and 1075 Sept.
chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area) / 1065.20 Sept. chart's weekly
bottom (major) / 1061.40 major weekly down
channel (major area) / 1055.80 Sept. chart's
monthly closing price and 1053 monthly bottom (very
major area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Friday managed to trade
below the 1101.20 monthly channel confirming the downtrend
intact and closing in bearish territory. Rallies up to
any of the major resistances should be considered a selling
opportunity. A trade above 1118.50 day channel is
slightly bullish and can bring prices up to challenge near the
1125.80 weekly gap. NOTE: Only
a trade above the 1139.80 and 1140.20 channels can put
any solid bullishness back into the chart. Remain
defensive inside the first major trading range between 1106.80
and 1101.80 area.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1104
- 1106.80 area and if rallies continue sell again near
1107.40 - 1109.30 area and if possible near 1110.60 - 1111.70
area for obj. near 1102.20 - 1101.80 area and
possibly near 1100.20 bottom. (Use a protective buy stop
at 1112.70. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 1114
- 1115.10 area and if possible near 1117.60 - 1118.40 area for
obj. near 1109.50 - 1107.50 area. (Use a buy stop and
rev. long at 1122.80).
Buy stop at 1122.80 for obj. near 1124.80 -
1125.80 area.
Sell (stop limit) at 1100 for obj. near
1098.90 - 1098.70 area.
Sell stop at 1097.80 for obj. near 1094.80 -
1092.20 area and possibly near 1090.30.
Sell stop at 1088.50 for obj. near 1085.70 -
1085.40 area and possibly near 1084.20 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/19/04 (2:12 pm est) The sell stop at 1097.80 was hit putting traders into short positions. The intra-day double bottom at 1095.80 - 1095.50 is a sign of a temporary support and is near enough to the 1094.80 obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/19/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Tuesday 07-20-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1098.60 day channel also 1099.30 and
1099.50 intra-day channels also 1100 and 1100.50 peaks (major
area) / 1104.20 peak and 1104.30 minor day
channel (major area) / 1105.30 day top and
1106.60 minor day channel also 1106.80 weekly channel (very
major area) / 1107.40 weekly channel without
GBX prices also 1107.50 and 1108.50 peaks also 1109.10 major
day channel with GBX prices and 1109.20 peak (very
major area) / 1110.60 minor weekly channel and
1111 peak also 1112 day top (very
major area) / 1113.60 day channel and 1114.70
day top also 1114.90 day channel without GBX prices (major
area) / 1117.60 minor weekly channel without GBX
prices and 1118 minor day channel (very
major area) / 1119.70 weekly top (major)
/ 1121.80 weekly top and 1122.50 rev. base (major
area) / 1125.80 weekly closing gap (major
area) / 1128.80 GBX weekly top and 1129.30 day top
also 1130.50 peak and 1131.80 minor day channel (major
area) / 1138.50 and 1139.60 long-term major weekly
channels also 1140.20 monthly channel (very
major area) / 1144.30 minor monthly
channel and 1145.20 monthly channel also 1146.20 major double
top (very major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1095.60 long-term day channel and 1095.50
day bottom (major area) / 1093.90 day channel
and 1092.40 minor weekly down channel (major area)
/ 1090.30 minor monthly channel and 1090 weekly chart's bottom
also 1089.50 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (very
major area) / 1086.30 day channel and 1085.40
minor weekly channel also 1084.50 day bottom and 1084.20 minor
monthly channel (very major
area) / 1080 minor day channel and 1079
minor weekly down channel also 1078.20 weekly chart's bottom (major
area) / 1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms
(very major area)
/ 1067.50 weekly bottom and 1065.20 Sept. chart's weekly
bottom (major) / 1061.40 major weekly down
channel (major area) / 1055.80 Sept. chart's
monthly closing price and 1053 monthly bottom (very
major area).
Comments:
The whiplashing action and sell-off on
Monday closed down for the fourth day in a row leaving the
chart in bearish territory but now faces major support at the
1090.30 monthly channel. A trade below 1090.30 and
1089.50 can bring prices down to challenge the 1086.30 -
1084.20 area and possibly near the 1080 and 1077.50 - 1075
bottom area. A trade today above 1107.40 - 1109.10 area
is slightly bullish but only a trade above 1118 can bring
any solid bullishness back to the chart. Remain
defensive inside the first trading range between 1098.60 -
1099.50 resistance and 1095.60 - 1093.90 support and also the
major range between 1106.60 - 1109.10 resistance and 1090.30 -
1089.50 support areas.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1098.60 - 1099.50 area for obj. near 1096 - 1095.60 area.
(Use a protective buy stop at 1102.30. Do not rev.
long).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1104 - 1106.60 area and if possible near 1107.40 - 1109.10
area for obj. near 1100.80 - 1099.60 area and possibly near
1098. (Use a protective buy stop at 1112.70. Do
not rev. long).
Buy stop at 1118.70 for obj. near 1119.70 -
1121 area.
Buy stop at 1122.80 for obj. near 1124.80 -
1125.80 area.
Sell stop at 1095.30 for obj. near 1093.90 -
1092.40 area and possibly near 1090.30.
Sell stop at 1088.50 for obj. near 1086.50 -
1085.40 area and possibly near 1084.20.
Sell stop at 1083 for obj. near 1080 -
1077.50 area and possibly near 1075.30.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/20/04 (10:25 am est) Short positions were taken on the open at 1100.50. The sell off down to 1098.40 is worthy enough to take profits since the stop at 1102.30 was almost hit. This completes the first trade. Results: 07/20/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Wednesday 07-21-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are
against the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are
used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop
inside a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade
entry point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after
the market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1113.70 day channel without GBX prices
and 1114.20 day top also 1114.40 peak and 1114.70 day top
and 1115 peak (major area) / 1117.60
minor day channel and 1117.60 minor weekly channel without
GBX prices (very major area)
/ 1119.70 weekly top (major) / 1121.80
weekly top and 1122.50 rev. base (major area)
/ 1125.80 weekly closing gap (major area) /
1128.80 GBX weekly top and 1129.30 day top also 1130.50 peak
and 1130.90 minor day channel (major area)
/ 1137.60 minor day channel also 1138.50 and 1139.60
long-term major weekly channels also 1140.20 monthly channel
(very major area) /
1144.30 minor monthly channel and 1145.20 monthly channel
also 1146.20 major double top (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1111.50 double base and 1110.50 intra-day
gap (major area) / 1109 intra-day channel
also 1108.70 and 1108.50 rev. peak and 1108 intra-day
channel (major area) / 1106.30 intra-day
channel and 1106.20 base (major area) /
1104.70 intra-day channel and 1104.50 base (major
area) / 1103 and 1102.50 bases also 1101.30 day
channel and 1100.90 base (very
major area) / 1098.40 day bottom and 1098
base (major area) / 1096 long-term day
channel and 1095.70 GBX bottom also 1095.50 day bottom and
1094.30 day channel (very
major area) / 1092.40 minor weekly down
channel (major) / 1090.30 minor
monthly channel and 1090 weekly chart's bottom also 1089.50
Sept. chart's weekly bottom (very
major area) / 1086.60 day channel and
1085.40 minor weekly channel also 1084.50 day bottom and
1084.20 minor monthly channel (very
major area) / 1080 minor day channel
and 1079 minor weekly down channel also 1078.20 weekly
chart's bottom (major area) / 1077.50 and
1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area) / 1067.50 weekly bottom and
1065.20 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (major)
/ 1061.40 major weekly down channel (major area)
/ 1055.80 Sept. chart's monthly closing price and 1053
monthly bottom (very major
area).
Comments:
The rally on Tuesday managed to close
above the last 4 days closing prices, which technically is
considered a minor key reversal and bullish but until prices
can trade above the 1117.60 channel then technically the
downtrend remains intact for lower prices to develop.
A trade above the 1117.60 and 1119.70 area is slightly
bullish but only a trade and close above
the 1125.80 weekly gap and 1130.90 channel can reverse the
downtrend into neutral condition again. A trade this
month above 1145.20 can bring the uptrend back into play.
A trade below 1101.30 is a major signal for lower prices and
a trade below 1090.30 monthly channel will confirm the
downtrend is back into play. Remain defensive inside
the first trading range between 1114.70 and 1110.50 area and
also the major range between 1117.60 and 1101.30 area.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1113.70 - 1114.70 area and if possible near 1117.60 for obj.
near 1111.50 - 1110.50 area. (Use a buy stop and rev.
long at 1118.30).
Buy stop at 1118.30 for obj. near 1119.30 -
1119.70 area and possibly near 1121 - 1121.80 area.
Buy stop at 1122.80 for obj. near 1124.80 -
1125.80 area.
Sell stop at 1110 for obj. near 1109 - 1108
area.
Sell stop at 1107.70 for obj. near 1106.50
- 1106.20 area.
Sell stop at 1106 for obj. near 1104.80 -
1104.50 area.
Sell stop at 1100.20 for obj. near 1098.70
- 1098 area.
Sell stop at 1094 for obj. near 1092.40 -
1090.30 area
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/21/04 (10:08 am est) Short positions were taken at 1114. The sell-off down to 1112 was near enough to the 1111.50 obj. and completes the trade. Results: 07/21/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Thursday 07-22-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are
against the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are
used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop
inside a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade
entry point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after
the market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1093.20 intra-day gap and 1094
intra-day channel (major area) / 1099.60
intra-day channel and 1100.70 peak (major area)
/ 1101.60 intra-day channel and 1102 rev. channel also
1102 weekly closing price (very
major area) / 1104.50, 1105.20 and 1105.70
peaks (major area) / 1109.80 and 1110.20
peaks (very major area)
/ 1112.20 peak (major) / 1114 newly
developed day channel and 1114.70 peak also 1114.80 newly
developed day channel (very
major area) / 1116 day top and 1117.20 minor
day channel (very major area) / 1119.70
weekly top (major) / 1121.80 weekly top and
1122.50 rev. base (major area) / 1125.80
weekly closing gap (major area) / 1128.80
GBX top and 1129.30 day top also
1130 minor day channel and 1130.50 peak (very
major area) / 1137.20 minor day channel also
1138.50 and 1139.60 long-term major weekly channels also
1140.20 monthly channel (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1089.50 weekly double bottom and 1089 day
bottom (major area) / 1086.80 minor day
channel and 1085.50 daily down channel also 1085.40 minor
weekly channel (major area) / 1084.50 day
bottom and 1084.20 minor monthly channel
(very major area) / 1080.10
minor day channel and 1079 minor weekly down channel also
1078.20 weekly chart's bottom (major area)
/ 1077.50 and 1075 Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area) / 1067.50 weekly bottom and
1065.20 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (major)
/ 1061.40 major weekly down channel (major area)
/ 1055.80 Sept. chart's monthly closing price and 1053
monthly bottom (very major
area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Wednesday materialized as
expected bringing prices down to a very major
support area that can possibly stimulate some rallies.
Be very defensive in the area. Besides having the
major support, the chart formation, with the wide
whiplashing action seen over the past two day, can turn out
to be the beginning of a base formation for a solid move
near the 1125.80 area and possibly near 1142 area again.
At this time, a trade below 1089.50 is bearish but prices
must trade below 1084.20 minor monthly channel to
confirm lower prices to follow. Remain defensive
inside the first trading range between 1094.40 and 1089.50
area and also the major range between 1101.60 and 1084.20
area.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1094 - 1095.70 area or buy dips near 1090.50 - 1089.50 area,
whichever side comes first, to complete the trade.
(Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1096.80). (Use a sell
stop and rev. short at 1088).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1099.50 - 1101.60 area for obj. near 1096 - 1095 area.
(Use a buy stop and rev. long at 1103.30).
Buy stop at 1096.80 for obj. near 1098.50 -
1099.50 and possibly near 1101.60.
Buy stop at 1103.30 for obj. near 1104.50 -
1105.20 area and possibly near 1105.70.
Buy stop at 1106.80 for obj. near 1109 -
1110.20 area.
Sell stop at 1088.50 for obj. near 1087 -
1086.80 area and possibly near 1085.50.
Sell stop at 1083 for obj. near 1081 - 1079
area.
Sell stop at 1072 for obj. near 1068 -
1065.20 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 07/22/04 (10:05 am est) The rally up to 1093.70 is near enough to the 1094 sell area putting traders into short positions at 1093.50. The sell-off down to 1090 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/22/04 (10:16 am est) The sell stop at 1088.50 was hit putting traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 1087.20 is near enough to the 1087 obj. and completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/22/04 (12:15 pm est) The sell stop at 1083 was hit, putting traders into short positions. The rally up to 1089.40 is above the newly developed down channel line and can prove to be supportive. It is recommended for traders to exit all short positions and take losses at this time. The market is trading at 1089.40 at this time. Bulletin - Originally sent 07/22/04 (3:02 pm est) The buy stop at 1096.80 was hit putting trades into long positions. The market is showing signs of resistance at the 1097.80 area that can prevent the obj. at 1098.50 from being met. It is recommended for traders to exit long positions, at the market, which is trading at 1096.80 at this time and scratch the trade. Results: 07/22/04
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Friday 07-23-04: NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are
against the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are
used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop
inside a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade
entry point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after
the market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the September contract -
1094.70 intra-day channel also 1095.90 and 1096 congestion
peak area (major area) / 1097.80 intra-day
channel and 1098 and 1099 peaks also 1099.20 day top (very
major area) / 1100 and 1100.70 peaks (major
area) / 1105.20 and 1105.70 peaks (major
area) / 1109.80 and 1110.20 peaks (major
area) / 1112.10 day channel with GBX prices and
1112.20 peak (very major area)
/ 1113.70 and 1114.50 minor day channels also 1114.70 peak (very
major area) / 1116 day top and 1116.70 minor
day channel (very major area)
/ 1119.70 weekly top (major) / 1121.80
weekly top and 1122.50 rev. base (major area)
/ 1125.80 weekly closing gap (major area) /
1128.80 GBX top and 1129.10 minor day channel also 1129.30
day top and 1130.50 peak (very
major area) / 1136.70 minor day channel (major)
/ 1138.50 and 1139 long-term major weekly channels also
1140.20 monthly channel (very
major area).
Support: For
the September contract -
1088.20 base (major area)
/ 1085.30 base (major) / 1083.80 newly
developed long-term major day channel and 1083 day bottom (major
area) / 1080.20 minor day channel and
1079 minor weekly down channel also 1078.20 weekly chart's
bottom (major area) / 1077.50 and 1075
Sept. chart's weekly bottoms (very
major area) / 1067.50 weekly bottom and
1065.20 Sept. chart's weekly bottom (major area)
/ 1061.40 major weekly down channel (major area)
/ 1055.80 Sept. chart's monthly closing price and 1053
monthly bottom (very major
area).
Comments:
The whiplashing action on Thursday
managed to close up for the day after trading slightly
below the 1084.20 monthly channel. This action can
possibly be a signal of a temporary bottom and for a
significant retracement to the upside. A trade above
1097.80 - 1099.20 area can bring prices up to challenge the
1105.70 and 1109.80 areas. A trade above 1112.10 is
bullish but a trade and close on Friday above 1114.50 will
reverse the downtrend by having a technical key
reversal on the weekly chart and bullish for higher prices
to follow. A trade below 1085.30 and 1083.80 is
bearish but a trade below the 1080.20 - 1078.20 area and
1075.30 bottom will confirm the major downtrend intact for
lower prices. Remain defensive inside the first
trading range between 1094.70 - 1088.20 area and also inside
the major range between 1099.20 and 1083.80 area.
Day
trades: For The September contract -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near
1094.70 - 1095.70 area or buy dips near 1089.70 - 1088.20
area, whichever side comes first, to complete the trade.
(Use a protective buy stop at 1096.80. Do not rev.
long). (Use a protective sell stop at 1086.80.
Do not rev. short).
Buy stop at 1102.20 for obj. near 1105 -
1105.70 area.
Buy stop at 1106.80 for obj. near 1108.80 -
1110 area.
Buy stop at 1112.70 for obj. near 1113.70 -
1114.70 area.
Sell stop at 1081.30 for obj. near 1080.30
- 1079 and possibly near 1078.20 - 1077.50 bottom area.
Sell stop at 1072 for obj. near 1068 -
1065.20 area.
Results: 07/23/04
HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE
DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT
WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN
FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE
RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
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