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Archived S & P Daily Reports THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN ALL TRADING. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. ALL RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL. THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
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The
week in review -
9/16/02
- 9/20/02
The Tech Guru's S & P Day
Trading Recommendations
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Monday 09-16-02 :
NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a
value - (very major) holds the highest importance, then
(major), (very significant), and (significant) is the
least of value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are
against the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops
are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell
stop inside a buy area.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where
stops ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below
the second support area listed or above the
second resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade
entry point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first resistance
area becomes the support after the market trades
through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the Dec. contract -
892 and 892.50 intra-day channel also
893.20 day top (major area) / 895.50 and
895.70 peaks also 898.50 and 899.50 intra-day peaks (major
area) / 903 day top to 906.30 day gap (major
area) / 911.20 day session
close also 912.20 weekly channel (very
major area) / 916.40 weekly and monthly
close also 919 day channel (major area) /
925 weekly channel and 927 weekly
top also 927.20 minor weekly channel (very
major area) / 928.50
and 929 day tops also 930.50 major day channel (very
major area) / 936.90 day gap (major)
/ 941.20 weekly close also 945 minor
weekly channel (very
major area).
Support:
For the Dec. contract -
891.20
newly developed weekly channel and 886 minor weekly
channel (very major
area) / 883.50 minor weekly channel (major)
/ 879.50 major day channel and 877.50 minor day channel
also 876.50 weekly bottom (major area) / 869.50
and 869 weekly bottoms also 864.70 weekly closing price
(very major area)
/ 860.80 day session close (major) / 854
and 851 bottoms (major area) / 844
weekly closing price (very
major area) / 833.50
day gap and 831.20 and 832 weekly bottoms also 828.50 GBX
weekly bottom (very
major area).
Comments:
The market continued to
hold the major support on Friday proving the significance
of the area. The close on Friday was slightly higher
for the day but the weekly managed to close slightly lower
leaving the chart neutral but technically supportive.
A trade below 886 is slightly bearish but a trade below
879 - 877.50 area can bring prices down to challenge the
869 - 865 area. A trade below 865 will fail the
major support for lower prices to follow. A trade above
899.50 can prove to be bullish enough to bring prices up
to challenge the 919 and 927 major resistances. A
trade above 927 - 930.50 area will be considered a
breakout for higher prices. Remain overall bullish
in this critically supportive area until the market can
prove otherwise.
Day trades:
For the Dec. contract -
Aggressive traders can buy
dips near 889 - 886 area and if possible near 884 for obj.
near 893 - 895 area and possibly near 898. (Use a
sell stop and rev. short at 874).
Aggressive traders can attempt long
positions near 867 - 865 area for obj. near 873 -
876 area and possibly near 878. (Use a sell stop and
rev. short at 859.50).
Sell
stop at 874 for obj. near 870 - 869 area and possibly near
867 - 865 area.
Sell stop at 859.50 for
obj. near 855 - 854 bottom area and possibly near 851.
Buy
stop at 900.70 for obj. near 905 - 906 area.
Buy stop at 915.20 for
obj. near 919 and possibly near 921 - 924 area.
Long-term positions
traders holding long positions can look for
obj. near 903 - 906 area and possibly higher. (Use
a protective sell stop at 860. Conservative
traders can use a protective sell stop at 873).
Bulletin - Originally sent 9/16/02 (3:31 pm est) The market gave
traders the opportunity to enter long positions this morning
at 886 and again at 880. The rally up to 892 is
considered a double top to the high made this morning at
891.20 and should be considered a sell signal for long
positions to exit and take profits.
Results:
9/16/02
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Tuesday 09-17-02 :
NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a
value - (very major) holds the highest importance,
then (major), (very significant), and (significant) is
the least of value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that
are against the trend or a high dollar risk when wide
stops are used. "The
Golden Rule"
- Do not use a buy stop inside a sell
area or a sell stop inside a buy area.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where
stops ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below
the second support area listed or above
the second resistance area listed, or 22 points from
the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first resistance
area becomes the support after the market trades
through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance: For
the Dec. contract -
895.50 and 895.70 peaks also 898.50 and 899.50 peaks (major
area) / 903 day top to 906.30 day gap (major
area) / 911.20 day
session close also 912.20 weekly channel (very
major area) / 916
day channel and 916.40 weekly and monthly close
(very major area)
/ 925 weekly channel and 926.50
major day channel also 927 weekly top and 927.20 minor
weekly channel (very
major area) / 928.50 and 929 day tops (major
area) / 933.50 day
channel and 936.90 day gap (very
major area) / 945
minor weekly channel also 946.50 and 947 minor day
channels (very
major area) / 950 minor day channel (major).
Support:
For the Dec. contract -
892 and 891.50 intra-day channels also 889.80 base and
rev. peak (major area) / 887.50
intra-day channel also 884.70 and 883.80 base (major
area) / 881.50 major
day channel and 881.50 intra-day gap also 880.70 base
and 880 minor day channel (very
major area) / 878.60 bottom and 878
minor day channel also 876.50 weekly bottom and 876
weekly GBX bottom (major area) / 869.50
and 869 weekly bottoms also 865 and 864.70 weekly
closes (very
major area) / 860.80
day session close / 854 and 851 bottoms also
853.70 weekly closing price (very
major area) / 844
weekly closing price (very
major area) / 833.50
day gap and 831.20 and 832 weekly bottoms also 828.50
GBX weekly bottom (very
major area).
Comments:
The market continued to hold the
major support on Monday proving for the second day the
significance of the area. The market also
managed to close up for the second day in a row
leaving the chart neutral to slightly bullish and very
supportive for higher prices to develop. The overnight
GBX session for Tuesday managed to trade up to the
major resistance at 916. A trade above 916 is
bullish but will face the test to break through the
927 major area. A trade above 927 will be
considered a breakout for higher prices. A trade
today below 881.50 - 878 area will fail the major
support for lower prices to follow. Remain
defensive inside the wide neutral area between 916 and
883.80.
Day
trades: For the Dec. contract -
Aggressive traders
can sell rallies near 912 - 916 area for obj.
near 906 - 903 area. (Use a buy stop and rev.
long at 919).
Aggressive trader can sell rallies
near 924 - 927 area for obj. near 916 - 913 and
possibly near 909. (Use a buy stop and rev. long
at 931.50).
If the market opens above 903, aggressive
traders can buy dips near 898 - 895 area for
obj. near 903 - 906 area. (Use a protective sell
stop at 893.50. Do not rev. short).
Aggressive traders can buy dips near
883 - 881.50 area, if it gets there, for obj. near 891
- 893 area. (Use a sell stop and rev. short at
874).
Buy stop at 919 for obj. near 924 and
possibly near 927.
Buy stop at 931.50 for obj. near
933.50 - 936.90 area.
Sell stop at 874 for obj. near 870 -
869 area and possibly near 865.
Sell stop at 859.50 for obj. near 855
- 854 area and possibly near 851.
Long-term positions traders holding
long positions can look for obj. near 903 - 906 area
and possibly near 910 - 912 area. (Use a
protective sell stop at 860. Conservative
traders can use a protective sell stop at 873).
Bulletin - Originally sent 9/17/02 (10:06 am est) The sell-off down to the 893.50 sell stop was hit but at this time the chart formation appears supportive and still worthy of long positions. Aggressive traders can re-enter the long positions near 893.50 - 894.50 area for obj. near 903 - 906. (Use a protective sell stop at 889. Do not rev. short). Bulletin - Originally sent 9/17/02 (10:19 am est) The 889 sell stop was hit but the condition still remains supportive for possible rallies. As recommended in the first aggressive trade to buy near 889 - 886 and near 884 if possible will remain as an open trade for long positions to be taken. It is recommended for traders to enter long positions at this time at the market. The market is trading near 887.50 at this time. Additional long positions can still be taken near 883 - 880 level. Continue to use a sell stop and rev. short at 874. Bulletin - Originally sent 9/17/02 (3:46 pm est) The
sell-off to 874 put traders into short positions.
The 869 is a very major support and can stimulate
rallies. The congestion formation is now proving
support making the short position risky. It is
recommended for traders to exit near the 874 - 873
area and scratch the trade before losses occur.
Results:
9/17/02
A TECHNICAL
GUIDE FOR DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Wednesday 09-18-02 :
NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will
designate a value - (very major) holds the
highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is the least of
value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades
that are against the trend or a high dollar risk
when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule"
- Do not use a buy stop
inside a sell area or a sell stop inside a buy
area.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only.
Where stops ARE NOT mentioned, they should be
placed below the second support area
listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade
entry point), whichever is the lesser
amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first
resistance area becomes the support after
the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance:
For the Dec. contract -
874.60 peak and 877 intra-day channel (major
area) / 881 intra-day channel also 883,
884 and 885.50 peaks (major area)
/ 888.50 peak (major area) /
891 peak and 893 day session closing price (major
area) / 899 peak
and 900 newly developed day channel (very
major area) / 905.50 day top and
906.30 day gap (major area) / 913.50
day channel and 916 GBX top (very
major area) / 924.50
major day channel also 925 weekly channel
(very major area)
/ 927 weekly top and
927.20 minor weekly channel also 928.50 and 929
day tops (very
major area).
Support:
For the Dec.
contract -
869.50 and 869 weekly
bottoms (very
major area) / 865
and 864.70 weekly closes (very
major area) / 860.80 day session
close (major area) / 854
and 851 bottoms also 853.70 weekly closing price
(very major area) / 844
weekly closing price (very
major area) / 833.50
day gap also 832 and 831.20 weekly bottoms
(very major area)
/ 828.50 GBX weekly bottom (major
area) / 819.80
day session closing price and 814 bottom (very
major area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Tuesday from
the major resistance area brought prices down
below the major channel support lines and
slightly bearish, facing the 869 bottom and
864.70 weekly closing price as the last support
in this neutral area. A trade below the
864.70 - 860.80 area will be considered a
technical failure for lower prices to develop.
Only a trade above 900 can bring any solid bullishness
back to the chart and can bring prices up
to challenge the 913.50 - 916 area again.
A this time only a trade above 927 can bring the
uptrend back into play. NOTE:
The
sell-off on Tuesday is the second time the
market is challenging the major 50% retracement
area between the 966 top and 773 bottom.
If this area fails to hold support, prices can
sell-off down near the 833.50 gap area and can
possibly challenge the contract low at 773.
Remain very defensive in this critically neutral
retracement area.
Day
trades: For the Dec. contract -
Aggressive traders can buy dips
near 865 - 861 area and sell rallies near 869 -
873 area, whichever side comes first to complete
the trade. (Use a sell stop and rev. short
at 859.80). (Use a buy stop and rev. long
at 877.70).
Aggressive traders can sell
rallies near 897 - 900 area for obj. near 893 -
891 area. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at
903).
Buy stop at 877.70 for obj.
near 881 - 883 area and possibly near 885.
Buy stop at 893.70 for obj.
near 897 - 900 area.
Buy stop at 903 for obj. near
906.30 gap and possibly near 909.
Sell stop at 859.80 for obj.
near 855.50 - 853.70 area and possibly near 851.
Sell stop at 849 for obj. near
845 - 844 area.
Sell stop at 840 for obj. near
835 - 833.50 gap and possibly near 832.
Bulletin - Originally sent 9/18/02 (11:30 am est) The sell stop at 859.80 was hit putting traders into short positions. The performance of the market in this area is showing signs of technical support. It is recommended for traders to exit the short positions taken near the 860 and scratch the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 9/18/02 (3:16 pm est) The
rally hit the buy stop at 877.70 and did not meet
the obj. near 881 - 883 area. The rally seems
to be a little too high, too fast and is now subject
to some retracements. It is recommended for
traders to exit the long position taken at 877.70
and scratch the trade.
Results:
9/18/02
A
TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY TRADING THE S
& P
S
& P - For Thursday 09-19-02 :
NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will
designate a value - (very major) holds the
highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is the least
of value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades
that are against the trend or a high dollar
risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule"
- Do not use a buy stop
inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area.
Special
instructions for using stops -
All stops listed are for the day
session only. Where stops ARE NOT
mentioned, they should be placed below
the second support area listed or above
the second resistance area listed, or 22
points from the (trade entry point),
whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first
resistance area becomes the support after
the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance:
For the Dec. contract -
863.80 intra-day channel and day session close
also 864.50 peak (major area)
/ 868.20 intra-day gap and 870 peak (major
area) / 875.70
and 877 intra-day channel also 877.30 peak and
879 day top (very
major area) / 883, 884 and
885.50 intra-day peaks (major area)
/ 888.50 and 891 peaks including congestion
closing prices (major area) /
894.50 day channel
(very major
area) / 905.50 weekly top to
906.30 day gap (major area) /
910.50 day channel
(very major
area) / 916 GBX top (major)
/ 922.50 major day
channel (very
major area).
Support:
For the Dec.
contract -
859 newly developed
major day channel and 858 minor day channel
also 856.80 bottom (very
major area) / 854
and 851 day bottom also 853.70 weekly closing
price and 852.50 rev. channel (very
major area) / 846.10
and 843.60 minor down channels also 844 weekly
closing price (very
major area) / 833.50
day session gap also 832 and 831.20 weekly
bottoms (very
major area) / 828.50 GBX
weekly bottom (major) /
819.80 day session closing price (major)
/ 814 day bottom (very
major area) / 796.60
lowest day session closing price before
contract low (very
major area).
Comments:
The second day of
sell-off's on Wednesday brought prices down
below the 865 - 860.80 support area which is
bearish but managed to close above 860.80
leaving the chart neutral to bearish. A
trade below 859 - 858 and 856.80 bottom area
is bearish for prices to challenge the 853.70
and 844 support areas. A trade
below 843.60 will confirm a technical failure
for prices to possibly reach the 833.50 gap
area and can also challenge contract lows.
NOTE: Even
with the neutral to bearish condition,
technically the market remains in a very
critical area where support in this area can
develop for higher prices. A trade above
868 - 870 is slightly bullish but a trade
above 877 - 879 area can stimulate buying for
possible rallies up near 894 area. A
trade above 894 will be considered a breakout
for prices to challenge the 910 - 916 area
again. Remain defensive but look for
support areas as a low risk buying area until
the market can prove to fail and trade below
the 843.60 level.
Day
trades: For the Dec. contract -
If
the market opens below 856 - Aggressive
traders can buy dips near 855 -
852.50 area for obj. near 863 and possibly
near 867. (Use a sell stop and rev.
short at 849.80).
If
the market opens above 860 - Aggressive
traders can buy near 860 - 858 area
for obj. near 863 - 867. (Use a sell
stop at 849.80).
Aggressive traders can buy dips
near 846.50 - 844 area for obj. near 850 - 852
area. (Use a sell stop and rev. short at
840.50).
Aggressive traders can sell
rallies near 867 - 869 area for obj. near
864 - 863 area. (Use a buy stop and rev.
long at 871.20).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies
near 891 - 894, if it gets there, for obj.
near 887 - 885 area. (Use a buy stop and
rev. long at 897).
Buy stop at 871.20 for obj.
near 875 - 877 area.
Buy stop at 880 for obj. near
883 - 884 area and possibly near 885.50.
Buy stop at 886.70 for obj.
near 888.50 - 891 area and possibly near 894.
Buy stop at 897 for obj. near
906.90 day gap area and possibly near 910.
Sell stop at 856 for obj.
near 854 - 853.70 area and possibly near 852.
Sell stop at 849.80 for obj.
near 846.50 and possibly near 844 area.
Sell stop at 840.50 for obj.
near 835 - 833.50 area and possibly near 832.
Bulletin - Originally sent 9/19/02 (9:37 am est) NOTE: Position traders entering long positions today at the 855 - 852.50 area can hold overnight for obj. near 891 - 894 area and possibly higher. Bulletin - Originally sent 9/19/02 (12:26 pm est) The rally up to the 862 - 861 is considered a double top and a signal for long positions to exit and take profits. Bulletin - Originally sent 9/19/02 (3:37 pm est) The buy at 846 was completed with the rally at 850.
The market is showing signs of bearishness at this time, so it is
recommended not to repeat this buy area again.
Results:
9/19/02
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Friday 09-20-02 : NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major),
(very significant), and (significant) is the least of value.
Very aggressive trades -
are trades that are against the trend or a high dollar risk
when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop
inside a buy area.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade
entry point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after
the market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance: For
the Dec. contract -
845 minor day channel (major) / 848, 848.50
and 850.50 intra day channels also 850.50 peak (major
area) / 856 and 858.20 peaks
also 859 intra-day channel (very
major area) / 862 day top and 863.70 GBX top
also 863.80 day gap (major area) / 869 rev.
base and 872.50 day session closing price (major
area) / 879 day top (major) / 889.50
day channel and 891.20 weekly closing price (very
major area).
Support: For
the Dec. contract -
839 newly developed down channel (major) / 833.50
day session gap also 832 and 831.20 weekly bottoms (very
major area) / 828.50 GBX weekly bottom (major)
/ 819.80 day session closing price (major)
/ 814 day bottom (very
major area) / 796.60
lowest day session closing price before contract low
(very major area) / 774
Dec. bottom and 773 weekly chart bottom (very
major area).
Comments:
The sell-off on Thursday for the third
day in a row brought prices down near a very major bottom
and gap area at 833.50 - 832 area, which could stimulate
some buying. A trade below the 832 - 828.50 area will
be considered a technical failure that can bring prices down
to challenge the 814 and 774 - 773 bottom area.
The sell-off over the past three days put the chart in an
oversold condition, which can also add to a likely
retracement to the upside. A trade above the 848 -
850.50 area can be considered slightly bullish but only a
trade above 856 - 859 area can remove the bearishness from
the chart for prices to challenge up near the 889 - 891 area
again. At this time, only a trade above 891 can bring
any solid bullishness back to the chart. Remain
aggressive in this very critical bottom support area.
Buying dips for potential rallies can payoff.
Day
trades: For the Dec. contract -
Aggressive traders can attempt long positions
near 844 - 842 area for obj. near 848 - 850. (Use a
sell stop and rev. short at 838).
Aggressive traders can sell rallies
near 848 - 850 area for obj. near 844 - 842 area. (Use
a buy stop and rev. long at 852).
Aggressive traders can attempt long positions
near 835 - 832 area for obj. near 839 - 842 area and
possibly near 844. (Use a sell stop and rev. short at
825.50).
Aggressive traders can attempt short positions
near 859, if it gets there, for obj. near 854 and possibly
near 851 area. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at 865).
Buy stop at 852 for obj. near 856 - 859
area.
Buy stop at 865 for obj. near 869 - 872
area.
Buy stop at 881.50 for obj. near 885 - 889
area.
Sell stop at 838 for obj. near 835 - 832
area.
Sell stop at 825.50 for obj. near 820.50 -
819.50 area and possibly near 814 bottom.
Sell stop at 807 for obj. near 800 - 796
area.
Bulletin
- Originally sent 9/20/02 (9:46 am est)
The double bottom at 845 was considered support where long positions were taken instead of the 844 area. The rally up to 848 - 849.30 completed the trade. Short positions were taken at 849 for an obj. near 845 - 844 area. Since there is enough of support in this area, the buy at 844 - 842 can be repeated again. Bulletin - Originally sent 9/20/02 (10:32 am est) The rally up to the
847.20 area completes the long position taken at 843.
Results:
9/20/02 *
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading
futures and options. These
recommendations cannot guarantee a profit.
Placing contingent orders such as "Stop
Loss" or "Stop Limit" orders
will not necessarily limit your losses to the
intended amounts, since market conditions
may make it impossible to execute such orders. Bulletin
- Originally sent 9/23/02 (11:24 am est)
The market hit the 825.50 sell stop putting
traders into short positions. The performance has been technically
supportive after the sell stop was hit. A trade above 832 will be
considered a confirmation of technical support for possible higher prices.
Traders can use a protective buy stop at 832.50 to protect short positions.
Results:
9/23/02 * There is a
substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options. These
recommendations cannot guarantee a profit. Placing contingent
orders such as "Stop Loss" or "Stop Limit"
orders will not necessarily limit your losses to the intended
amounts, since market conditions may make it impossible to
execute such orders. Bulletin - Originally
sent 9/24/02 (11:31 am est)
The market rallied from the 820.50 day session
low, which did not give traders a chance to buy the 817 area. Since
the rally brought prices above the obj. of the first trade, it becomes
a high risk to attempt the buy area at 817 - 814 at this time. Traders
can still attempt the buy at 817 - 814 area but must realize it is
considered a very aggressive trade at this time and will not be included in
the trading results for the end of the day.
Bulletin - Originally
sent 9/24/02 (12:40 pm est)
The sell-off down to the 818.50 area is
considered a double bottom to this mornings low where long positions were
taken on the very aggressive trade. At this time, long positions can
be considered and results will be posted. The chart formation
appears to be supportive enough for possible rallies to the upside.
The obj. for long positions is near 827 and possibly 830. (Use
a sell stop and rev. short at 811).
Bulletin - Originally
sent 9/24/02 (1:32 pm est)
Long positions were taken at 819.50 as per
bulletin. The rally up to 826 is near enough to the 827 obj. for
traders to consider taking profits.
Results:
9/24/02 |