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Archived S & P Daily Reports THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN ALL TRADING. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. ALL RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL. THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
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The
week in review - 10/14/02 - 10/18/02
The Tech Guru's S & P Day
Trading Recommendations
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S & P
- For Monday
10-14-02 : NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a value -
(very major) holds the highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are against
the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to enter or
complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where stops
ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below the
second support area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade entry
point), whichever is the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance after the
market trades through the second support area
listed. The first resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance:
For the Dec. contract -
839, 839.50 and
840 peaks also 840, 840.50 and 841 newly developed day channels
also 842 and 842.50 minor channels (very
major area) /844 day top (major) / 846
and 848 minor day channels (major area) / 852.20
day top to 854.10 day gap also 854.50 weekly top
(very major area) / 856.80
rev. base and 857 weekly top (very
major area) / 862 day top to
863.80 day gap and 862.30 weekly channel also 863.70 GBX top and
864 major day channel (very
major area) / 869 rev. base and 872.50 day session
closing price also 872 minor weekly channel (major area)
/ 879 day top and 881 major weekly channel
(very major area) / 886
major day channel and 891.10 weekly closing price (very
major area).
Support: For
the Dec. contract -
831 and 830.50 base area also 830
intra-day channel (major area) / 828
intra-day channel also 826 and 825 base (very
major area) / 822.50 intra-day channel (major)
/ 815 day bottom and monthly closing price
(very major area) /
809.80 and 807.50 rev. peaks also 805.80 weekly close (major
area) / 802.50 day gap and 799.10
GBX bottom (very major area)
/ 793.50 rev. peak (major).
Comments:
The rally and close
on Friday is considered a bullish key reversal because the
market made lower lows for the week and settled above the
last two weeks closes. This bullish move from last week can
possibly bring higher prices but the market faces very major
resistance at 839 - 842 area and again at 852 - 857 area and also
at 862.30 that can prevent significant rallies to develop until a
solid base formation is seen. The overbought condition can
stimulate retracements to the down side with whiplashing to both
sides of the 862 - 802 wide neutral range before a worthy support
can develop. NOTE: A
trade above 862.30 area will be considered a breakout for prices
to challenge the 886 - 891 area but technically, only a trade
above 940 will confirm a solid reversal of the major trend to the
upside. A trade today below the 828 - 825 area is slightly
bearish and a trade below 815 can bring prices down to the 802 gap
area and possibly challenge the 793.50 support. Only a trade
below 786 can bring any solid bearishness back to the chart.
Remain defensive inside the 862 - 802 wide trading range.
Day trades:
For the Dec. contract -
Aggressive traders can buy
dips near 830 - 828 area and if possible near 826 for obj. near
835 and possibly near 839. (Use a sell stop and rev. short
at 822).
Aggressive traders sell
rallies near 839 - 842 area for obj. near 835 - 833.50 area.
(Use a buy stop and rev. long at 844.20)
Sell stop at 822 for
obj. near 819 - 817 area.
Sell stop at 812 for
obj. near 810 - 807.50 and possibly near 805.80 area.
Aggressive traders can attempt
long positions near 805 - 802 area for obj. near 812 -
815 area. (Use a protective sell stop at 796. Do not
rev. short).
Buy stop at 844.20
for obj. near 846 - 848 area.
Buy stop at 849.20
for obj. near 852 - 854.10 gap.
Buy stop at 858.70
for obj. near 862 area.
Buy stop at 866 for
obj. near 872.
Bulletin - Originally sent prior to the morning report: 10/14/02 (9:30 am est) Aggressive traders can buy dips near 830 - 828 area and if possible near 826 for an obj. near 835 and possibly near 839. Use a sell stop and rev. short at 822. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/14/02 (9:47 am est) Long positions were taken from the bulletin this morning at 828.50. The rally up to 833.50 seems to be showing resistance and therefore it is recommended for long positions to exit and take profits. The market is trading at 832.50 at this time. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/14/02 (10:10 am est) The rally to 838.50 put traders into short positions. The sell-off down to 835 meets the obj. and completes the trade. Traders who attempt to repeat this trade should realize it is now considered a very aggressive trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/14/02 (1:07 pm est)
The rally to 844.20 put traders into
long positions. The market is showing signs of resistance at
this area. It is recommended for traders to exit the long
position near 841 and cut losses.
Results:
10/14/02
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Tuesday
10-15-02 : NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a
value - (very major) holds the highest importance, then
(major), (very significant), and (significant) is of the
least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that are
against the trend or a high dollar risk when wide stops
are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell
stop inside a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to
enter or complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only. Where
stops ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed below
the second support area listed or above
the second resistance area listed, or 22 points from
the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first resistance
area becomes the support after the market trades
through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the Dec. contract -
844
minor day channel and 845 day top also 845 and 847 minor
day channels (very
major area) / 852.20
day top to 854.10 day gap also 854.50 weekly top (very
major area) / 857
weekly top (very
major) / 861.50 day
channel also 862 day top to 863.80 day gap and 862.30
weekly channel also 863.70 GBX top (very
major area) / 869
rev. base and 872.50 day session closing price also 872
minor weekly channel (very
major area) / 879
day top and 881 major weekly channel (very
major area) / 884
major day channel (very
major area) / 891.10
weekly closing price (very
major area).
Support: For
the Dec. contract -
840.20 newly developed upper
channel (major) / 837.50 intra-day
channel and 835 base (major area) /
832.50 base (major) / 827.60
bottom also 826 and 825 base (very
major area) / 815
day session bottom (very
major) / 809.80 and 807.50 rev. peaks and
805.80 weekly close (major area) / 802.50
day gap and 799.10 GBX bottom (very
major area) / 793 rev. peak (major).
Comments:
The
whiplashing action on Monday came to no surprise
and managed to develop a significant base formation that
can stimulate rallies. A trade above 847 is bullish but
a trade above 862.30 - 863.80 area will be considered a
breakout above the first weekly channel and can bring
prices up to challenge the 872 and 881 weekly channels.
The 881 channel can prove to be significant enough to hold
back further rallies for a while. A trade below
840.20 - 837.50 area is slightly bearish but a trade below
827.60 - 825 area can bring prices down to challenge the
802.50 gap area, which can be considered a solid support
and a good buying area.
Day
trades: For the Dec. contract -
If
the market opens above 862 or trades above at anytime
during the day - Aggressive traders can sell
rallies near 869 - 872 area for obj. near 863 and
possibly near 860. (Use a buy stop and rev. long at
875).
If
the market opens above 857 but below 862 -
Aggressive traders can sell rallies near 862 -
863 area for obj. near 857 and possibly near 854 area.
(Use a protective buy stop at 866. Do not rev.
long).
If the market opens
above 857 traders can use a sell stop at 852 to
enter into a short position for obj. near 847 and possibly
near 845. (Use a protective buy stop at 866.
Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders can
buy dips near 840.50 - 838 area for obj. near 844
and possibly near 846. (Use a protective sell stop
at 833. Do not rev. short).
Aggressive traders can
attempt long positions near 828 - 826 area, if it
gets there, for obj. near 835 and possibly near 838 area.
(Use a sell stop and rev. short at 822).
Buy stop at
875 for obj. near 877.50 - 879 area and possibly near 881.
Sell stop at
822 for obj. near 817 and possibly near 815 bottom area.
Results: 10/15/02
A
TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR DAY TRADING THE S
& P
S
& P - For Wednesday
10-16-02 : NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will
designate a value - (very major) holds the
highest importance, then (major), (very
significant), and (significant) is of the
least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades
that are against the trend or a high dollar
risk when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule"
- Do not use a buy stop
inside a sell area or a sell stop inside
a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any
trade to enter or complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops -
All stops
listed are for the day session only.
Where stops ARE NOT mentioned, they should
be placed below the second support
area listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from
the (trade entry point), whichever is
the lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first
resistance area becomes the support
after the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance:
For the Dec. contract -
885.50 and 888.70
peaks from 9/17/02 (major area)
/ 891.20 weekly closing
price (very
major area) / 894.60
weekly closing price and 896.70 day channel and
weekly channel (very
major area) / 905.50 day top and
906.30 day gap (major area) / 916
GBX weekly top (very
major area) / 926
and 928.90 weekly channels also 927 weekly top
and 928.50 day top also 825, 826.50 and 829 day
channels (very
major area) / 831.50 day channel
(major).
Support: For
the Dec. contract -
872 congestion base (major
area) / 867.50
and 867 base area also 865.50 day bottom and 865
intra-day channel (very
major area) / 859 rev. channel
and 857 rev. peak (major area)
/ 852.80 day channel
(very major area) / 846
rev. channel and 845 rev. peak (major
area) / 841.50
day gap and 838.50 weekly closing price (very
major area) / 835.50 and 832.50
base areas (major area) / 827.60
weekly bottom (very
major area).
Comments:
The rally on Tuesday brought prices up to the
very major resistance at 881 - 884 area,
which can possibly hold back rallies for a
while. A trade above 884 can bring prices
up to challenge the 991.20 - 996 resistance
area. A trade above 996.70 will be
considered a breakout for higher prices to
follow. A trade today below 865 is
slightly bearish and can bring prices down near
the 857 area and challenge the 852.80 area
and possibly near the 845 - 841.50 gap area.
A trade below 838.50 - 835 area is bearish and
can possibly bring prices down to challenge the
815 - 802.50 gap area. Remain defensive.
Retracements to the down side can develop as
easily as rallies inside the wide trading range
between 896 - 845 area.
Day
trades: For the Dec. contract -
Aggressive
traders can buy dips near 872 - 867
area for obj. near 878 - 880 area. (Use a
sell stop and rev. short at 863).
Aggressive
traders can sell rallies near 891 - 895
area for obj. near 887 - 886 area. (Use a
buy stop and rev. long at 899.70).
Buy
stop at 886.50 for obj.
near 889 - 891 area and possibly near 895.
Buy
stop at 899.70 for obj. near 905 - 906.30 gap
area.
Sell
stop at 863 for obj. near 859 - 858 area.
Sell
stop at 856 for obj. near 853 and possibly near
852.
Sell
stop at 849 for obj. near 846 - 844 area and
possibly near 841.50 gap area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 10/16/02 (10:03 am est) Long positions were taken at 870. The rally up to 874.50 and then after dropping down to the buy area again rallied back up to 874 creating a double top and resistance. It is recommended for traders to exit long positions and take profits. the market is trading at 873 at this time. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/16/02 (10:03 am est) The sell stop was hit at 863 putting traders into short positions. The chart formation now has a technical double bottom at 862.50 and 863.50 that is a sign of support. It is recommended for traders to exit the short position near the 864 area and scratch the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/16/02 (2:13 pm est) The market hit the 856 sell stop putting traders into short positions. The market appears to be gaining support even though it is trending to the downside. Because of the slow pace, the market is now subject to creating support for fast rallies to the upside. It is recommended for traders to exit the short position near 857 and scratch the trade. Results: 10/16/02
A TECHNICAL GUIDE FOR
DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Thursday
10-17-02 : NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate a
value - (very major) holds the highest importance,
then (major), (very significant), and (significant) is
of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades that
are against the trend or a high dollar risk when wide
stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a sell
stop inside a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade to
enter or complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only.
Where stops ARE NOT mentioned, they should be placed
below the second support area listed or above
the second resistance area listed, or 22 points from
the (trade entry point), whichever is the
lesser amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first resistance
area becomes the support after the market
trades through the second resistance area
listed.
Resistance:
For the Dec. contract -
865 day channel and 866.50
intra-day channel also 867 peak (major area)
/ 874.50 day top (major) / 880
day channel and 882 minor day channel (very
major area) 884 day top and 884.80
GBX top (major area) / 891.20
weekly closing price (very
major area) / 894.60
weekly closing price and 894.70 major day channel also
896.70 major weekly channel (very
major area) / 905.50 day top and 906.30
day gap (major area) / 916
GBX weekly top (very
major area) / 924
minor day channel and 926 weekly channel (very
major area).
Support: For
the Dec. contract -
858 minor intra-day channel
also 856.80 base (major area) / 855.70
bottom and 854.50 rev. peak (very
major area) / 845.50 rev. channel and 845
rev. peak (major area) / 841.60
day gap and 838.50 weekly closing price (very
major area) / 835 and 832.50 intra-day
bases (major area) / 827.60
weekly bottom and 825.30 weekly settling price (very
major area) / 815
monthly close and 815 day bottom
(very major area).
Comments:
After the
sell-off and gap down on Wednesday from the major
resistance, the market managed to hold the first major
support which will prove to be critical in today's
session. A trade below 858 - 855.70 area can bring
prices down to challenge the 845 - 841.60 gap area but
only a trade below 832.50 and 825.30 areas will fail the
major support and can bring the downtrend back into play.
A trade today above 880 - 884 area is bullish and can
bring prices up near the 891.20 and 896.70 areas, which
can prove to be significant enough resistance to hold back
rallies for a while. A trade above 896.70 will be
considered a breakout for higher prices to follow.
The market still faces a wide trading range between 896.70
and 841.60. Remain very defensive until the
whiplashing neutrality is out of the chart and a
solid direction can be established.
Day trades:
For the Dec. contract -
If
the market opens below 880 - Aggressive traders can
sell rallies near 880 - 882 area for obj. near
875 and possibly near 870.50 area. (Use a buy stop
and rev. long at 887.70).
If
the market opens above 884 - Aggressive
traders can attempt short positions near 890 -
891 area and again if possible near 896 for obj. near 885
- 882 area and possibly near 879. (Use a buy stop
and rev. long at 899.70).
Buy
stop at 887.70 for obj. near 890 - 891 area.
Buy
stop at 899.70 for obj. near 905 - 906 area.
Buy
stop at 909.70 for obj. near 913 - 916 area and possibly
near 920.
If
the market opens above 875
traders can use a sell stop at 870 for obj. near 865 - 864
area.
Sell
stop at 851 for obj. near 847 - 845 area and possibly near
843.
Sell
stop at 831 for obj. near 828 - 826 area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 10/17/02 (9:57 am est) Traders - this bulletin is to inform all traders that the buy stop at 887.50 is not in play. It was to be used only if the market opened below the 880 area as mentioned in the first trade. Any traders in long positions should exit and scratch the trade. Aggressive traders can attempt short positions near 882 - 884 area for obj. near 875 - 872 area. (Use a protective buy stop at 888. Do not rev. long). Bulletin - Originally sent 10/17/02 (10:07 am est) Short positions were taken at 881.50. The sell-off down to 875.80 completes the trade. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/16/02 (10:17 am est) The sell area at 890 - 891 and if possible near 896 is still considered a worthy trade. Continue to use a buy stop and rev. long at 899.70. Results: 10/17/02
A TECHNICAL
GUIDE FOR DAY TRADING THE S & P
S
& P - For Friday
10-18-02 : NOTE: After
each support and resistance listed will designate
a value - (very major) holds the highest
importance, then (major), (very significant), and
(significant) is of the least value. Very
aggressive trades - are trades
that are against the trend or a high dollar risk
when wide stops are used. "The
Golden Rule" - Do
not use a buy stop inside a sell area or a
sell stop inside a buy area. The word NEAR can
be 1/2 to 1 point from a price listed in any trade
to enter or complete a trade.
Special
instructions for using stops - All
stops listed are for the day session only.
Where stops ARE NOT mentioned, they should be
placed below the second support area
listed or above the second
resistance area listed, or 22 points from the (trade
entry point), whichever is the lesser
amount. NOTE: The
first support area becomes the resistance
after the market trades through the second
support area listed. The first
resistance area becomes the support after
the market trades through the second
resistance area listed.
Resistance:
For the Dec. contract -
879.80 peak and 880
intra-day channel (major area) / 883
peak (major) / 886.60
newly developed channel and 887 minor day channel also
888.50 day top and minor weekly channel (very
major area) / 891.20
weekly closing price and 893 day channel (very
major area) / 894.60
weekly closing price and 896.70 weekly channel (very
major area) / 905.50 day top and
906.30 day gap (major area) / 916
GBX weekly top (very
major area) / 923
and 924 minor day channels also 925.50 major day
channel and 926 weekly channel (very
major area).
Support: For
the Dec. contract -
879 minor upper day
channel (significant) / 877.20
intra-day channel also 877, 876.50 and 876 base area
and 875 bottom (very
major area) / 867 rev. peak (major)
/ 862.30 day gap (major) / 856.80
base and 855.70 day bottom also 854.50 rev. peak
(very major area)
/ 845 rev. channel and 845 rev. peak (major
area) / 841.60 day gap
and 838.50 weekly closing price (very
major area) / 835 and 832.50 intra-day
bases (major area).
Comments:
The
whiplashing action on Thursday at the major resistance
area can prove to be a signal of a temporary top
formation for possible retracements to the downside.
A trade below 867 today is slightly bearish but a
trade below the 856.80 - 854.50 area can bring prices
down to challenge the 845 - 841.60 gap area. A
trade today above 891.20 - 893 area is bullish and a
trade above 896.70 will be considered a breakout for
higher prices to follow. The 893 - 896.70
resistance can prove to be significant
enough to hold back rallies for a while.
Remain defensive inside the 893 - 867 neutral area.
The whiplashing action can continue until a breakout
is seen to either side of the neutral area.
Day trades:
For the Dec. contract -
Only If the market
opens above 882 but below 886 - Aggressive
traders can attempt short positions near
885 - 886 for obj. near 879 and possibly near 877.
(Use a protective buy stop at 887.70. Do not
rev. long).
If the market opens
below 879 - Aggressive traders can attempt
short positions near 879 - 880 area
and possibly near 881 for obj. near 877.30 and
possibly near 876.50 area. (Use a protective
buy stop at 883.70. Do not rev. long).
Aggressive traders
can sell rallies near 889 - 891 area and if
possible near 893 for obj. near 884 - 882 area.
(Use a buy stop and rev. long at 899.70).
Aggressive traders
can buy dips near 870 - 867 area for obj.
near 875 and possibly near 877. (Use a sell stop
and rev. short at 865.30).
Buy stop
at 899.70 for obj. near 904 - 906 area.
Buy stop
at 909.70 for obj. near 913 - 916 area.
Sell stop
at 865.30 for obj. near 862.30 - 860 area and possibly
near 858.
Sell stop
at 851 for obj. near 847 - 845 area and possibly near
843.60 - 841.60 gap area.
Bulletin - Originally sent 10/18/02 (9:38 am est) Long positions were taken at the 870.50 area for an obj. near 875 and possibly near 877. Continue to use a sell stop and rev. short at 865.30. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/18/02 (10:08 am est) The rally up to 874.50 completes the long position trade. The sell off down to the 869 - 865.50 area is still considered a buying area and long positions can be attempted. The obj. for the second attempt is at 873 - 875 area. Continue to use the sell stop and rev. short at 865.30. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/18/02 (10:21 am est) Long positions were taken at 868.50. The rally up to 873 now completes the trade for all long positions to exit. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/18/02 (11:15 am est) The rally up to 887.50 can prove to be resistance where short positions can be attempted. It is recommended for traders to enter short positions at the market. The market is trading at 887 at this time. Continue to use a stop and rev. long at 899.70. Bulletin - Originally sent 10/18/02 (11:32 am est) Short positions
were taken at 887 as per bulletin. The sell off down
to 883 completes the trade.
Results:
10/18/02 *
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures
and options. These recommendations cannot
guarantee a profit. Placing contingent orders such
as "Stop Loss" or "Stop Limit"
orders will not necessarily limit your losses to the
intended amounts, since market conditions may make
it impossible to execute such orders. Bulletin - Originally
sent 10/21/02 (10:14 am est)
The double bottom at 872.50 put traders into
long positions. The rally up to 875 completes the trade. This
trade can be attempted again but should be considered a higher risk than
the first attempt.
Bulletin - Originally
sent 10/21/02 (1:06 pm est)
The rally hit the buy stop at 896 putting
traders into long positions. The technical formation is beginning
to look top-heavy for a possible failure.
It is recommended for traders to exit the
long position and cut losses. The risk outweighs the reward.
The market is trading at 894 at this time.
Results:
10/21/02 *
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading
futures and options. These recommendations
cannot guarantee a profit. Placing contingent
orders such as "Stop Loss" or "Stop
Limit" orders will not necessarily limit your
losses to the intended amounts, since market
conditions may make it impossible to execute such
orders. Bulletin -
Originally
sent 10/22/02 (10:30 am est)
Long positions were taken at 887.
The rally up to 892.50 is showing some resistance for traders to
consider taking profits. Exit at the market. The market is
trading at 891 at this time.
Bulletin -
Originally
sent 10/22/02 (2:10 pm est)
Short positions were taken at the 884.50
stop. The sell off down to 882 seems to be supportive enough
for short positions to consider taking profits and exiting the
trade. The market is trading at 882.50 at this time.
Results:
10/22/02 |